Werder Bremen — FC Augsburg: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.3% |
| 12 | 75.2% | |
| X2 | 58.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.1% / 29.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.3% / 11.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.8% / 31.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.3% / 71.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.9% / 85.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Werder Bremen
10th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 away FC Koln 1:1
- 05.09.2026 home RB Leipzig 3:1
- 30.08.2026 away Freiburg 1:4
- 16.05.2026 home Dortmund 0:2
- 09.05.2026 away Hoffenheim 0:1
FC Augsburg
4th place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 home Leverkusen 2:2
- 06.09.2026 away Ein Frankfurt 4:1
- 30.08.2026 home Schalke 04 3:0
- 16.05.2026 away Union Berlin 0:4
- 09.05.2026 home M'gladbach 3:1
This season: Werder Bremen at home vs FC Augsburg away
| Metric | Werder Bremen · at home | FC Augsburg · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.95 | 1.13 |
| xG against per match | 1.50 | 2.22 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.05.2026 Werder Bremen 1:3 FC Augsburg
- 20.12.2025 FC Augsburg 0:0 Werder Bremen
- 19.01.2025 Werder Bremen 0:2 FC Augsburg
- 24.08.2024 FC Augsburg 2:2 Werder Bremen
- 27.04.2024 FC Augsburg 0:3 Werder Bremen
- 09.12.2023 Werder Bremen 2:0 FC Augsburg
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg appear evenly matched ahead of their Bundesliga meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts no decisive advantage, while FC Augsburg remain close enough to make the contest difficult to separate. With moderate confidence in this view, the match is best approached as an open encounter rather than one with a clearly dominant side.
The scoring outlook points toward a high-scoring game, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests the balance could shift during the match, particularly if either side takes an early lead and the other responds by committing more players forward. A draw such as 1:1 is one plausible scenario, while narrow victories for either Werder Bremen or FC Augsburg also fit the overall assessment.
What matters before kick-off
Werder Bremen team news
Werder Bremen midfielder Senne Lynen remains sidelined with ongoing pelvic issues and missed out on the squad for the match against FC Augsburg.
FC Augsburg early season form
FC Augsburg head coach Manuel Baum urged his team to stay grounded following an unbeaten start to the Bundesliga season ahead of their match in Bremen.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.