Eintracht Frankfurt — SC Freiburg: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.5% |
| 12 | 75.0% | |
| X2 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.1% / 31.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.6% / 13.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.2% / 33.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.4% / 55.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Eintracht Frankfurt
9th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 away Mainz 3:1
- 06.09.2026 home Augsburg 1:4
- 29.08.2026 away Union Berlin 3:3
- 16.05.2026 home Stuttgart 2:2
- 08.05.2026 away Dortmund 2:3
SC Freiburg
2nd place · 9 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 home M'gladbach 5:0
- 05.09.2026 away Paderborn 1:0
- 30.08.2026 home Werder Bremen 4:1
- 16.05.2026 home RB Leipzig 4:1
- 10.05.2026 away Hamburg 2:3
This season: Eintracht Frankfurt at home vs SC Freiburg away
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt · at home | SC Freiburg · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.22 | 1.24 |
| xG against per match | 1.13 | 0.77 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.03.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 SC Freiburg
- 19.10.2025 SC Freiburg 2:2 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 17.05.2025 SC Freiburg 1:3 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 14.01.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 4:1 SC Freiburg
- 18.02.2024 SC Freiburg 3:3 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 24.09.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 SC Freiburg
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Eintracht Frankfurt face SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga meeting that looks finely balanced. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with moderate confidence in an evenly matched contest. That suggests a game likely to be decided by small margins rather than sustained superiority from either team.
The scoring outlook points towards an open match, with both Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg likely to find the net. A high-scoring pattern is considered more plausible than a cautious encounter, making the both-teams-to-score market the main signal. The most consistent scoreline possibilities are a draw or a narrow win for either side, so the result remains difficult to separate ahead of kickoff.
What matters before kick-off
Eintracht Frankfurt team availability news
Ansgar Knauff returned to Eintracht Frankfurt squad training following a thigh injury, but defender Jeremiaha Maluze was sidelined after sustaining a thigh injury against Mainz 05.
SC Freiburg start league campaign with three straight wins
SC Freiburg sat top of the Bundesliga table after winning all three of their opening league fixtures, most recently securing a 5-0 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.