Watford FC — West Ham United: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 41.3% |
| 12 | 77.7% | |
| X2 | 81.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.0% / 16.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.3% / 59.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.4% / 77.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.8% / 89.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Watford FC
8th place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Wrexham 1:1
- 16.08.2026 home Southampton 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home Coventry 0:4
- 25.04.2026 away Middlesbrough 1:5
- 21.04.2026 away West Brom 0:3
West Ham United
18th place · 1 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Charlton 1:2
- 16.08.2026 away Burnley 2:2
- 24.05.2026 home Leeds 3:0
- 17.05.2026 away Newcastle 1:3
- 10.05.2026 home Arsenal 0:1
This season: Watford FC at home vs West Ham United away
| Metric | Watford FC · at home | West Ham United · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.81 | 1.33 |
| xG against per match | 1.71 | 2.33 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 08.02.2022 West Ham United 1:0 Watford FC
- 28.12.2021 Watford FC 1:4 West Ham United
- 17.07.2020 West Ham United 3:1 Watford FC
- 24.08.2019 Watford FC 1:3 West Ham United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Watford FC face West Ham United in a Championship match that projects to be open and competitive. The attacking outlook points towards a high-scoring contest, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests the match may be shaped less by cautious control and more by how effectively each side manages the spaces created during attacking phases.
West Ham United hold a slight edge, although the moderate confidence level indicates that the gap between the teams is not decisive. Watford FC should remain capable of causing problems, particularly if they can turn the game into an end-to-end contest. West Ham United appear better placed to take advantage of that openness, but a draw remains a credible possibility within the overall outlook.
What matters before kick-off
Watford's recent results
Watford earned four points from their opening two Championship fixtures after beating Southampton 2-1 and drawing 1-1 with Wrexham, but suffered a 5-1 home defeat to Peterborough United in the Carabao Cup second round on Tuesday.
West Ham United's recent form
West Ham United are seeking their first Championship win of the season after drawing 2-2 at Burnley and losing 2-1 to Charlton, though they responded mid-week with a 4-1 Carabao Cup away win over Southampton.
Head-to-head history
Prior to their match in the Championship, Watford and West Ham United last played each other during the 2021-22 Premier League season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.