Cardiff City — Sheffield United: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.9% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 66.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.9% / 37.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.5% / 17.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.0% / 40.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.6% / 62.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.3% / 79.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Cardiff City
14th place · 2 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Derby 2:2
- 17.08.2026 home Wrexham 1:1
- 02.05.2026 away Mansfield 4:5
- 25.04.2026 home Northampton 5:1
- 22.04.2026 home Port Vale 1:0
Sheffield United
15th place · 2 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Swansea 0:0
- 15.08.2026 home Birmingham 0:0
- 02.05.2026 away Derby 2:1
- 25.04.2026 home Preston 2:3
- 22.04.2026 home Blackburn 1:3
This season: Cardiff City at home vs Sheffield United away
| Metric | Cardiff City · at home | Sheffield United · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.90 | 1.46 |
| xG against per match | 1.55 | 0.57 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 18.04.2025 Sheffield United 2:0 Cardiff City
- 21.12.2024 Cardiff City 0:2 Sheffield United
- 15.04.2023 Sheffield United 4:1 Cardiff City
- 12.11.2022 Cardiff City 0:1 Sheffield United
- 23.04.2022 Sheffield United 1:0 Cardiff City
- 04.12.2021 Cardiff City 2:3 Sheffield United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Cardiff City and Sheffield United look evenly matched ahead of their Championship meeting. The available assessment points towards an open contest, with both teams likely to score and the overall goal outlook described as high-scoring. That suggests neither side is expected to spend the match relying solely on defensive control, and the game could develop into a contest of attacking exchanges.
The balance between the teams remains the main feature of the preview, with only moderate confidence in the assessment. Sheffield United hold a slight edge in the broader market signal, which favours avoiding a home defeat, but the result is not presented as one-sided. A draw is a credible possibility, while either team has a route to victory if it converts its chances more effectively. The key question is whether Cardiff City can make home advantage count or whether Sheffield United can turn their marginal edge into a positive result.
What matters before kick-off
Head-to-head dominance
Sheffield United have won each of their last six league games against Cardiff City since December 2021. This marks the Blades' longest ongoing winning streak against any current Championship side.
Pre-match Carabao Cup results
On 25 August 2026 in the Carabao Cup second round, Cardiff City suffered a 2-1 home defeat to Norwich City, while Sheffield United secured a 2-1 win away against Blackburn Rovers.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.