Bolton Wanderers — Lincoln City: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.4% |
| 12 | 71.3% | |
| X2 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.6% / 45.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.5% / 8.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.0% / 25.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.0% / 73.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.6% / 87.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.1% / 94.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Bolton Wanderers
9th place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away QPR 0:0
- 15.08.2026 home Preston 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home Luton 2:3
- 25.04.2026 away Bradford 1:1
- 18.04.2026 home Huddersfield 3:3
Lincoln City
22nd place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Portsmouth 1:3
- 15.08.2026 away Middlesbrough 1:2
- 02.05.2026 away Port Vale 2:0
- 25.04.2026 home Wycombe 4:3
- 21.04.2026 away Doncaster 2:0
This season: Bolton Wanderers at home vs Lincoln City away
| Metric | Bolton Wanderers · at home | Lincoln City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.11 | 0.57 |
| xG against per match | 1.12 | 2.23 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.02.2026 Lincoln City 1:1 Bolton Wanderers
- 23.08.2025 Bolton Wanderers 1:1 Lincoln City
- 21.04.2025 Lincoln City 4:2 Bolton Wanderers
- 29.12.2024 Bolton Wanderers 3:0 Lincoln City
- 26.12.2023 Lincoln City 0:1 Bolton Wanderers
- 05.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers 3:0 Lincoln City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Bolton Wanderers host Lincoln City in a Championship meeting that looks finely balanced. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with moderate confidence in an evenly matched contest. That suggests the game may be shaped by small details rather than a sustained difference in quality between the teams.
The scoring outlook is medium, pointing towards a match with a reasonable but not excessive number of goals. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, so neither a clean sheet nor goals at both ends should be treated as the dominant expectation. Bolton Wanderers may have a slight benefit from playing at home, but Lincoln City remain close enough in the overall assessment to make this a competitive fixture. A draw is a credible possibility, while a narrow result for either side would also fit the cautious balance of the preview.
What matters before kick-off
Bolton Wanderers squad availability
Midfielder Xavier Simons is suspended for the fixture against Lincoln City. The hosts are also without injured duo Ruben Rodrigues and Luca Stephenson.
Lincoln City injury updates
The visitors head into the match missing forward James Collins alongside defenders Sonny Bradley and Tendayi Darikwa through injury.
Lincoln City midweek EFL Cup victory
Ahead of their return to Championship action, Lincoln City rotated their squad and achieved a 4-1 away win against Blackpool in the EFL Cup.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.