Match intelligence

Blackburn Rovers — Queens Park Rangers: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026

League: Championship (England) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
Blackburn Rovers1
:
2Queens Park Rangers
Locked signal 1X Probability 65.4% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 37.5% Home win Blackburn Rovers
X 27.9% Draw
W2 34.6% Away win Queens Park Rangers
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1272.1%
Both teams to score
Yes57.6%
Totals 2.5
Over52.6%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X65.4%
1272.1%
X262.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No57.6% / 42.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.5% / 7.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 77.8% / 22.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 52.6% / 47.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 30.4% / 69.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 14.9% / 85.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.3% / 93.7%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Blackburn Rovers × Queens Park Rangers
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.5%
0:1 7.2%
0:2 5.7%
0:3 2.6%
0:4 0.9%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 7.6%
1:1 13.2%
1:2 8.1%
1:3 3.7%
1:4 1.2%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 6.3%
2:1 8.5%
2:2 5.8%
2:3 2.6%
2:4 0.9%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 3.0%
3:1 4.0%
3:2 2.7%
3:3 1.2%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.1%
4:1 1.4%
4:2 1.0%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.3%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.2%
2:18.5%
1:28.1%
1:07.6%
0:07.5%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026

Blackburn Rovers

7th place · 4 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 22.08.2026 home Middlesbrough 2:1
  • 14.08.2026 away Wolves 2:2
  • 02.05.2026 home Leicester 0:1
  • 22.04.2026 away Sheffield United 3:1
  • 17.04.2026 home Coventry 1:1

Queens Park Rangers

6th place · 4 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 22.08.2026 home Bolton 0:0
  • 15.08.2026 away Portsmouth 3:1
  • 02.05.2026 away Ipswich 0:3
  • 25.04.2026 home Derby 2:3
  • 21.04.2026 home Swansea 1:2

This season: Blackburn Rovers at home vs Queens Park Rangers away

Metric Blackburn Rovers · at home Queens Park Rangers · away
Matches11
W–D–L1–0–01–0–0
Goals scored per match2.003.00
Goals conceded per match1.001.00
xG for per match0.912.07
xG against per match1.432.18
Shots on target per match5.006.00
Corners per match2.003.00
Over 2.5 goals100%100%
Both teams scored100%100%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Blackburn Rovers wins3
Draws0
Queens Park Rangers wins3
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
  • 14.02.2026 Queens Park Rangers 1:3 Blackburn Rovers
  • 26.11.2025 Blackburn Rovers 0:1 Queens Park Rangers
  • 04.02.2025 Queens Park Rangers 2:1 Blackburn Rovers
  • 28.09.2024 Blackburn Rovers 2:0 Queens Park Rangers
  • 03.02.2024 Blackburn Rovers 1:2 Queens Park Rangers
  • 07.10.2023 Queens Park Rangers 0:4 Blackburn Rovers

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Blackburn Rovers and Queens Park Rangers meet in a Championship contest that appears finely balanced. The available assessment describes the teams as evenly matched, with only moderate confidence in that reading. There is no clear basis for expecting one side to control the game throughout, so the contest may be shaped by periods of pressure from both teams and how efficiently they use their opportunities.

The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains difficult to separate. That points to a match where neither a quiet defensive battle nor an open exchange can be ruled out. Blackburn Rovers have a slight protective edge in the market signal, reflecting the possibility that the hosts avoid defeat, but Queens Park Rangers remain close enough for the result to stay uncertain. A draw or a narrow home victory fits the overall profile, although an away win is also within the range of plausible outcomes.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Recent team results

Blackburn Rovers enter the fixture following a 2-1 midweek EFL Cup defeat to Sheffield United, having previously beaten Middlesbrough 2-1 in the Championship. Queens Park Rangers played out a 0-0 draw against Bolton Wanderers in their last league outing.

Availability

Blackburn team news and fitness doubts

Blackburn Rovers faced late fitness checks on left-backs Harry Pickering and Yuri Ribeiro, while players such as Scott Wharton, Mathias Jorgensen, and Yuki Ohashi remain sidelined through injury.

Match fact

Previous season head-to-head record

Queens Park Rangers completed a league double over Blackburn Rovers last season, winning 1-0 away at Ewood Park in November 2025 and 3-1 at home in February 2026.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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