Charlton Athletic — Preston North End: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.2% |
| 12 | 71.6% | |
| X2 | 53.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.5% / 26.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.3% / 74.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.5% / 95.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Charlton Athletic
3rd place · 6 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away West Ham 2:1
- 15.08.2026 home Derby 2:1
- 02.05.2026 away Swansea 1:3
- 25.04.2026 home Hull 2:1
- 22.04.2026 home Ipswich 1:2
Preston North End
21st place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Wolves 1:3
- 15.08.2026 away Bolton 1:2
- 02.05.2026 home Southampton 1:3
- 25.04.2026 away Sheffield United 3:2
- 22.04.2026 away Birmingham 1:2
This season: Charlton Athletic at home vs Preston North End away
| Metric | Charlton Athletic · at home | Preston North End · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.97 | 1.12 |
| xG against per match | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 11.04.2026 Charlton Athletic 1:2 Preston North End
- 04.10.2025 Preston North End 2:0 Charlton Athletic
- 18.01.2020 Preston North End 2:1 Charlton Athletic
- 03.11.2019 Charlton Athletic 0:1 Preston North End
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Charlton Athletic host Preston North End in a Championship fixture that projects as a closely contested match with a slight edge for the home side. The overall assessment gives Charlton Athletic the stronger position, although the gap between the teams is not large enough to make the result predictable. Home advantage is the main factor separating the sides in this outlook, with the match expected to remain competitive for long periods.
The scoring profile points towards a medium-scoring game rather than an extreme attacking contest. Both teams scoring is considered finely balanced, so either a clean sheet for one side or goals at both ends remain plausible. The most consistent scoreline range is narrow, centred around a draw or a one-goal home victory. Preston North End should therefore remain involved, but Charlton Athletic have the clearer platform to claim the points if they make effective use of their home setting.
What matters before kick-off
Injuries in both squads
Charlton Athletic manager Nathan Jones faces multiple injury absences, including Matt Godden, William Mannion, Josh Edwards, Charlie Kelman, Kayne Ramsay, Billy Koumetio, and Collins Sichenje. Preston North End are without Brad Potts, Alistair McCann, and Theo Carroll due to injuries.
Contrasting start to the season
Charlton Athletic opened their league campaign with victories over Derby County and West Ham United, though they exited the EFL Cup against Tottenham Hotspur in midweek. Preston North End have suffered three straight defeats in all competitions, falling to Bolton Wanderers and Wolverhampton Wanderers in the league, as well as Everton in the EFL Cup.
Preston dominance in head-to-head fixtures
Preston North End enter the match having won five consecutive games against Charlton Athletic in all competitions, including both Championship fixtures between the sides last season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.