Villarreal CF — Real Betis Seville: Win probabilities, 14.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.3% |
| 12 | 76.2% | |
| X2 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.5% / 31.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.9% / 12.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.4% / 31.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.9% / 72.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.6% / 85.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.09.2026
Villarreal CF
18th place · 2 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home La Coruna 2:3
- 28.08.2026 away Alaves 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Ath Madrid 2:2
- 16.08.2026 away Santander 2:2
- 24.05.2026 home Ath Madrid 5:1
Real Betis Seville
7th place · 9 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 home Real Madrid 1:0
- 29.08.2026 away Levante 2:5
- 25.08.2026 away Valencia 1:0
- 21.08.2026 home Sociedad 1:0
- 23.05.2026 home Levante 2:1
This season: Villarreal CF at home vs Real Betis Seville away
| Metric | Villarreal CF · at home | Real Betis Seville · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| xG against per match | 0.83 | 1.94 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.01.2026 Real Betis Seville 2:0 Villarreal CF
- 18.10.2025 Villarreal CF 2:2 Real Betis Seville
- 13.04.2025 Real Betis Seville 1:2 Villarreal CF
- 15.12.2024 Villarreal CF 1:2 Real Betis Seville
- 10.03.2024 Real Betis Seville 2:3 Villarreal CF
- 13.08.2023 Villarreal CF 1:2 Real Betis Seville
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Villarreal CF host Real Betis Seville in LaLiga on 14 September 2026. The assessment gives Villarreal CF a slight edge, with high confidence, although the matchup is not presented as one-sided. Real Betis Seville remain capable of making the game competitive, so the main expectation is for the hosts to avoid defeat rather than for a definitive result to be assumed.
The forecast points towards an open, high-scoring contest in which both teams are likely to find the net. The most prominent scorelines are 1-1, 2-1 and 2-0, reflecting a balance between Villarreal CF’s home advantage and Real Betis Seville’s potential attacking contribution. Overall, Villarreal CF appear marginally better placed, but the anticipated scoring pattern suggests a match with sustained opportunities at both ends.
What matters before kick-off
Villarreal's winless streak
Villarreal enter the fixture without a win in five competitive matches this season (two draws and three defeats), most recently losing 3-2 to Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League.
Real Betis' recent momentum
Real Betis come into the match on back-to-back victories, having beaten Real Madrid 1-0 in LaLiga before defeating Lille 3-2 in their UEFA Champions League opener.
Villarreal defensive availability
Villarreal defender Juan Foyth missed recent matches due to a muscular injury and is expected to be unavailable for this fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.