Villarreal CF — Real Betis Seville: Win probabilities, 14.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.0% |
| 12 | 76.7% | |
| X2 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.0% / 36.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.6% / 15.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.8% / 36.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.7% / 58.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.5% / 76.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Villarreal CF have a slight but credible edge over Real Betis Seville in this LaLiga meeting. The assessment points toward a competitive match in which the hosts are marginally better placed, while the visitors remain capable of making the game difficult. The expected balance suggests that Villarreal CF should avoid defeat, although the gap between the teams does not appear wide enough to rule out a draw.
The attacking outlook is more positive than cautious, with both teams likely to score and the match carrying the profile of an open, high-scoring contest. Villarreal CF may have enough control and attacking quality to turn that openness in their favour, but Real Betis Seville should have opportunities of their own. Overall, the hosts are clearly favoured only to a limited extent: a narrow Villarreal CF success or a scoring draw are the most consistent scenarios.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.