Match intelligence

Getafe CF — RC Deportivo de A Coruna: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026

League: LaLiga (Spain) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Getafe CF1
:
1RC Deportivo de A Coruna
Locked signal 1X Probability 69.7% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 37.2% Home win Getafe CF
X 32.5% Draw
W2 30.3% Away win RC Deportivo de A Coruna
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X68.6%
Both teams to score
No55.9%
Totals 2.5
Under64.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X68.6%
1267.5%
X263.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No44.1% / 55.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 86.6% / 13.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 64.0% / 36.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 35.6% / 64.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 16.6% / 83.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 6.4% / 93.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.1% / 97.9%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Getafe CF × RC Deportivo de A Coruna
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 13.4%
0:1 10.8%
0:2 6.2%
0:3 2.1%
0:4 0.5%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 11.9%
1:1 14.9%
1:2 6.8%
1:3 2.3%
1:4 0.6%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 7.3%
2:1 7.5%
2:2 3.8%
2:3 1.3%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 2.7%
3:1 2.8%
3:2 1.4%
3:3 0.5%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.8%
4:1 0.8%
4:2 0.4%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.9%
0:013.4%
1:011.9%
0:110.8%
2:17.5%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026

Getafe CF

14th place · 4 pts after 4

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 07.09.2026 home Celta 1:1
  • 31.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:1
  • 23.08.2026 home Santander 1:0
  • 15.08.2026 away Alaves 0:3
  • 23.05.2026 home Osasuna 1:0

RC Deportivo de A Coruna

6th place · 8 pts after 4

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 05.09.2026 away Villarreal 3:2
  • 30.08.2026 home Valencia 3:1
  • 24.08.2026 away Malaga 1:1
  • 17.08.2026 home Elche 1:1
  • 31.05.2026 home Las Palmas 1:2

This season: Getafe CF at home vs RC Deportivo de A Coruna away

Metric Getafe CF · at home RC Deportivo de A Coruna · away
Matches22
W–D–L1–1–01–1–0
Goals scored per match1.002.00
Goals conceded per match0.501.50
xG for per match1.030.97
xG against per match1.131.59
Shots on target per match1.503.50
Corners per match5.502.50
Over 2.5 goals0%50%
Both teams scored50%100%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings found in the available data.

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Getafe CF and RC Deportivo de A Coruna meet in LaLiga in a contest that looks evenly matched, with only moderate confidence separating the possible outcomes. The overall expectation is for a cautious and low-scoring game, where neither side appears to hold a decisive advantage. That points towards a match shaped by defensive organisation, patience, and the ability to make the most of limited opportunities.

The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:0, and 1:0, reflecting the narrow margins expected between the teams. Both teams scoring remains difficult to assess and is effectively a coin flip, so there is no clear indication that the game will produce chances at both ends consistently. The available signal leans towards 1X, giving Getafe CF a slight structural edge through the possibility of a home win or draw, while RC Deportivo de A Coruna remain fully capable of keeping the match level.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Match fact

David Soria's consecutive starts record in LaLiga

Getafe goalkeeper David Soria received official recognition from LALIGA for setting a competition record with 193 consecutive starts.

Match fact

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang's record start at Deportivo

RC Deportivo striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang became the first player in club history to score in each of his first four top-flight matches, surpassing Bebeto's previous record after scoring a late winner against Villarreal.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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