Levante UD — FC Barcelona: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 13.8% |
| 12 | 90.9% | |
| X2 | 95.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.4% / 1.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.8% / 8.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 78.3% / 21.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 59.5% / 40.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 39.9% / 60.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 23.8% / 76.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Levante UD
13th place · 5 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Malaga 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Betis 5:2
- 24.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:0
- 16.08.2026 away Espanol 0:3
- 23.05.2026 away Betis 1:2
FC Barcelona
1st place · 12 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Valencia 5:0
- 31.08.2026 home Vallecano 5:2
- 27.08.2026 home Ath Bilbao 2:0
- 23.08.2026 away Elche 5:0
- 23.05.2026 away Valencia 1:3
This season: Levante UD at home vs FC Barcelona away
| Metric | Levante UD · at home | FC Barcelona · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 2–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.76 | 4.23 |
| xG against per match | 1.92 | 0.68 |
| Shots on target per match | 10.00 | 8.50 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.02.2026 FC Barcelona 3:0 Levante UD
- 23.08.2025 Levante UD 2:3 FC Barcelona
- 10.04.2022 Levante UD 2:3 FC Barcelona
- 26.09.2021 FC Barcelona 3:0 Levante UD
- 11.05.2021 Levante UD 3:3 FC Barcelona
- 13.12.2020 FC Barcelona 1:0 Levante UD
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Levante UD face FC Barcelona in LaLiga on 13 September 2026, with the available assessment giving FC Barcelona a clear advantage. The confidence level is high, suggesting that the visitors enter this matchup as the stronger side. The main outcome signal points toward an away win, while the projected scorelines consistently favour FC Barcelona and include controlled victories such as 0:2 and 0:3, alongside a more open 1:3 possibility.
The scoring outlook is high, so the match could develop with several goals rather than remain a low-tempo contest. At the same time, the assessment treats both teams scoring as evenly balanced, which leaves uncertainty over whether Levante UD will find the net. That combination points to a game where FC Barcelona should create the clearer attacking threat, while the overall goal pattern may depend on Levante UD’s ability to turn limited opportunities into a response.
What matters before kick-off
Eric Garcia available after UCL suspension
FC Barcelona defender Eric Garcia is available for selection against Levante UD after completing his UEFA Champions League suspension. He has been participating in training sessions with a protective face mask following a head injury.
FC Barcelona enter match following Champions League win
FC Barcelona travel to face Levante UD for Matchday 5 of LaLiga after opening their UEFA Champions League campaign with a 5-1 home win over Feyenoord. The team currently maintains a 100% winning start in the domestic league.
Raphinha named LaLiga Player of the Month
FC Barcelona winger Raphinha was named the LaLiga Player of the Month for August 2026/27. The Brazilian forward scored five goals across the opening month of the domestic campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.