CA Osasuna — Espanyol Barcelona: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.7% |
| 12 | 69.8% | |
| X2 | 58.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.5% / 27.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.7% / 76.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.6% / 89.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.0% / 96.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
CA Osasuna
7th place · 8 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Alaves 2:5
- 31.08.2026 home Getafe 1:0
- 27.08.2026 away Celta 2:1
- 24.08.2026 home Levante 0:0
- 16.08.2026 away Celta 0:0
Espanyol Barcelona
12th place · 4 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Sevilla 1:1
- 29.08.2026 away Sociedad 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Real Madrid 1:2
- 16.08.2026 home Levante 3:0
- 23.05.2026 home Sociedad 1:1
This season: CA Osasuna at home vs Espanyol Barcelona away
| Metric | CA Osasuna · at home | Espanyol Barcelona · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.17 | 0.76 |
| xG against per match | 0.98 | 1.66 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 CA Osasuna 1:2 Espanyol Barcelona
- 31.08.2025 Espanyol Barcelona 1:0 CA Osasuna
- 18.05.2025 CA Osasuna 2:0 Espanyol Barcelona
- 14.12.2024 Espanyol Barcelona 0:0 CA Osasuna
- 04.02.2023 Espanyol Barcelona 1:1 CA Osasuna
- 20.10.2022 CA Osasuna 1:0 Espanyol Barcelona
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Osasuna hold a slight edge over Espanyol Barcelona in this LaLiga meeting. The assessment points toward a competitive match rather than a clear mismatch, with the home side marginally better placed in the overall outcome signal. The 1X indication supports CA Osasuna avoiding defeat, although the draw remains an important possibility.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, but there is no firm lean on whether both teams will find the net. A 1:1 draw is among the most plausible scorelines, underlining the balanced nature of the contest, while 0:0 and 1:0 also feature prominently. CA Osasuna may have the stronger platform at home, yet Espanyol Barcelona have a realistic route to taking a point if they keep the match controlled. Overall, the game appears finely balanced with a modest advantage for the hosts rather than a decisive prediction.
What matters before kick-off
Osasuna missing four players due to injury
Defenders Valentin Rosier and Jorge Herrando, alongside midfielders Aimar Oroz and Moi Gómez, continued their recoveries from injury and were ruled out for the match against Espanyol.
Espanyol facing three LaLiga matches in six days
Espanyol begin a congested schedule of three LaLiga fixtures in six days, starting with their away match against CA Osasuna at El Sadar.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.