Racing Santander — Deportivo Alaves: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.8% |
| 12 | 73.3% | |
| X2 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.1% / 36.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.6% / 17.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.5% / 40.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.1% / 62.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.9% / 80.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.2% / 90.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Racing Santander
13th place · 4 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Vallecano 2:3
- 28.08.2026 home Elche 3:2
- 23.08.2026 away Getafe 0:1
- 16.08.2026 home Villarreal 2:2
- 31.05.2026 home Cadiz 4:1
Deportivo Alaves
2nd place · 10 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Osasuna 5:2
- 28.08.2026 home Villarreal 1:0
- 20.08.2026 away Vallecano 1:1
- 15.08.2026 home Getafe 3:0
- 23.05.2026 home Vallecano 1:2
This season: Racing Santander at home vs Deportivo Alaves away
| Metric | Racing Santander · at home | Deportivo Alaves · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| xG against per match | 0.85 | 0.42 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 21.01.2023 Deportivo Alaves 3:0 Racing Santander
- 01.11.2022 Racing Santander 1:1 Deportivo Alaves
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Racing Santander and Deportivo Alaves meet in LaLiga on 12 September 2026 in a contest that looks evenly matched. The available assessment gives neither side a clear overall advantage, with moderate confidence in that reading. Racing Santander will have home advantage, while Deportivo Alaves bring a comparable level of strength to the matchup, making the balance between the teams difficult to separate.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. The main scoreline scenarios point toward a close match, with 1-1 standing alongside narrow wins for either Racing Santander or Deportivo Alaves. The 1X signal provides a slight lean toward Racing Santander avoiding defeat, but the broader picture remains competitive rather than decisive. A match shaped by small moments and limited margins appears more likely than a one-sided encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Racing Santander's La Liga return
Racing Santander earned promotion to Spain's top flight for the 2026–27 campaign, marking their return to La Liga after a 14-year absence.
Racing Santander fixture schedule
Following their match against Deportivo Alavés on September 12, Racing Santander are scheduled to play away against FC Barcelona on September 16.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.