RC Celta de Vigo — Malaga CF: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.5% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 42.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.9% / 8.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.4% / 24.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.6% / 72.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.3% / 94.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
RC Celta de Vigo
15th place · 4 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.09.2026 away Getafe 1:1
- 03.09.2026 away Sociedad 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home Ath Bilbao 0:2
- 27.08.2026 home Osasuna 1:2
- 22.08.2026 away Valencia 0:0
Malaga CF
18th place · 2 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Levante 0:0
- 30.08.2026 away Real Madrid 0:4
- 24.08.2026 home La Coruna 1:1
- 19.08.2026 away Ath Madrid 0:2
- 31.05.2026 away Zaragoza 2:0
This season: RC Celta de Vigo at home vs Malaga CF away
| Metric | RC Celta de Vigo · at home | Malaga CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–2 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| xG against per match | 2.66 | 1.67 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 0% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
RC Celta de Vigo host Malaga CF in LaLiga, with the available assessment pointing to a slight edge for the home side. The confidence behind that view is low, however, so the match appears open rather than strongly one-sided. The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a game that could produce a moderate number of chances without necessarily becoming an extended attacking contest.
Whether both teams score is considered finely balanced, adding further uncertainty to the match pattern. RC Celta de Vigo may have the stronger platform through home advantage, but Malaga CF remain capable of keeping the contest close if they stay organised and take advantage of their opportunities. Overall, the most reasonable expectation is a competitive game in which the hosts have a narrow advantage, while a draw remains a credible outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Celta Vigo squad list facing Málaga CF
Celta Vigo head coach Claudio Giráldez has named a 23-player squad for the LaLiga matchday 5 fixture against Málaga CF at Abanca Balaídos. The call-up includes goalkeepers Altay Bayindir, Andrei Radu, and Iván Villar alongside defenders Carl Starfelt and Marcos Alonso.
Celta Vigo's recent draw against Getafe
In their previous LaLiga outing, Celta Vigo recorded a 1-1 away draw against Getafe. Defender Carl Starfelt scored the equalizing goal for Celta in the 57th minute.
Carlos Dotor's loan from Celta Vigo to Málaga CF
Midfielder Carlos Dotor is spending the 2026/27 season on loan at Málaga CF from RC Celta de Vigo. During the previous campaign, the Spanish midfielder featured in 40 official appearances for the Andalusian side.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.