Villarreal CF — RC Deportivo de A Coruna: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.4% |
| 12 | 81.0% | |
| X2 | 32.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.0% / 45.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.2% / 59.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.3% / 77.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.8% / 89.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Villarreal CF
16th place · 2 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 away Alaves 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Ath Madrid 2:2
- 16.08.2026 away Santander 2:2
- 24.05.2026 home Ath Madrid 5:1
- 17.05.2026 away Vallecano 0:2
RC Deportivo de A Coruna
8th place · 5 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Valencia 3:1
- 24.08.2026 away Malaga 1:1
- 17.08.2026 home Elche 1:1
- 31.05.2026 home Las Palmas 1:2
- 24.05.2026 away Valladolid 2:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Villarreal CF go into this LaLiga meeting with a clear but not overwhelming edge over RC Deportivo de A Coruna. The available assessment points toward the hosts being the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that this advantage should be treated with some caution rather than as a decisive forecast.
The match is expected to have an open, high-scoring character. Villarreal CF are the more likely side to control the overall outcome, but RC Deportivo de A Coruna remain capable of contributing to the scoreline. The outlook on both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the game could develop in different ways depending on how effectively the visitors respond to the hosts’ advantage. Overall, the clearest signal is in favour of Villarreal CF, with a competitive contest still possible.
What matters before kick-off
Recent LaLiga form
Villarreal under Iñigo Pérez started the 2026/27 LaLiga season winless in their opening three matches, most recently suffering a 1-0 defeat to Deportivo Alavés. Newly-promoted Deportivo La Coruña remain unbeaten, having secured a 3-1 win against Valencia in their previous fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.