Valencia CF — FC Barcelona: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 21.5% |
| 12 | 86.8% | |
| X2 | 91.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.0% / 44.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.7% / 2.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.6% / 10.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 73.5% / 26.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 33.7% / 66.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.8% / 81.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Valencia CF
18th place · 1 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away La Coruna 1:3
- 25.08.2026 home Betis 0:1
- 22.08.2026 home Celta 0:0
- 23.05.2026 home Barcelona 3:1
- 17.05.2026 away Sociedad 4:3
FC Barcelona
1st place · 9 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.08.2026 home Vallecano 5:2
- 27.08.2026 home Ath Bilbao 2:0
- 23.08.2026 away Elche 5:0
- 23.05.2026 away Valencia 1:3
- 17.05.2026 home Betis 3:1
This season: Valencia CF at home vs FC Barcelona away
| Metric | Valencia CF · at home | FC Barcelona · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.85 | 4.38 |
| xG against per match | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.50 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.50 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.05.2026 Valencia CF 3:1 FC Barcelona
- 14.09.2025 FC Barcelona 6:0 Valencia CF
- 26.01.2025 FC Barcelona 7:1 Valencia CF
- 17.08.2024 Valencia CF 1:2 FC Barcelona
- 29.04.2024 FC Barcelona 4:2 Valencia CF
- 16.12.2023 Valencia CF 1:1 FC Barcelona
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Valencia CF face FC Barcelona in LaLiga on 6 September 2026, with the available assessment giving the visitors a clear advantage. FC Barcelona are rated as the stronger side, while the overall scoring outlook points towards an open and high-scoring match rather than a tightly controlled contest. That combination suggests Valencia CF may need to remain compact and disciplined, particularly when dealing with the visitors’ attacking pressure.
The expectation is not one-sided enough to rule out a response from Valencia CF, however. The assessment of both teams scoring is evenly balanced, so Valencia CF have a plausible route to contribute offensively if they can make effective use of their opportunities. Even so, the central reading remains that FC Barcelona have the stronger position going into the match, with the visitors favoured to impose more influence across the game.
What matters before kick-off
Valencia's injury list ahead of the match
Valencia forward Umar Sadiq will miss the match against FC Barcelona due to injury. Head coach Carlos Corberán is also without injured players including Diego López, Luis Rioja, Sergi Canós, Dimitri Foulquier and Justin de Haas.
FC Barcelona squad news and Gavi's return
Gavi returns to FC Barcelona's squad after recovering from a knee knock sustained against Elche in matchday one. Meanwhile, Lamine Yamal traveled with the squad despite taking a knock in training.
FC Barcelona's potential final visit to Mestalla
This fixture could mark FC Barcelona's final competitive appearance at the historic Mestalla stadium. Valencia are set to move to a new venue at the end of the current campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.