Espanyol Barcelona — Sevilla FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.6% |
| 12 | 71.1% | |
| X2 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.0% / 9.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.5% / 26.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.3% / 74.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.5% / 95.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Espanyol Barcelona
14th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Sociedad 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Real Madrid 1:2
- 16.08.2026 home Levante 3:0
- 23.05.2026 home Sociedad 1:1
- 17.05.2026 away Osasuna 2:1
Sevilla FC
8th place · 6 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Ath Madrid 1:3
- 22.08.2026 away Ath Bilbao 3:1
- 15.08.2026 home Vallecano 2:1
- 23.05.2026 away Celta 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Real Madrid 0:1
This season: Espanyol Barcelona at home vs Sevilla FC away
| Metric | Espanyol Barcelona · at home | Sevilla FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–1 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.31 | 0.41 |
| xG against per match | 1.49 | 1.25 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.05.2026 Sevilla FC 2:1 Espanyol Barcelona
- 24.11.2025 Espanyol Barcelona 2:1 Sevilla FC
- 25.01.2025 Sevilla FC 1:1 Espanyol Barcelona
- 25.10.2024 Espanyol Barcelona 0:2 Sevilla FC
- 04.05.2023 Sevilla FC 3:2 Espanyol Barcelona
- 10.09.2022 Espanyol Barcelona 2:3 Sevilla FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Espanyol Barcelona host Sevilla FC in LaLiga on 6 September 2026, with the assessment giving the home side a slight edge and a high level of confidence. The projected game profile is medium-scoring, suggesting a match with some attacking intent but without a strong indication of an open contest. The overall signal also favours the hosts avoiding defeat.
Sevilla FC remain sufficiently competitive for the draw to be a significant possibility, and both teams scoring is considered evenly balanced rather than clearly favoured. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 0:0, which points to a match likely to be decided by small margins or not decided at all. Espanyol Barcelona have the stronger position in the preview, but Sevilla FC’s presence keeps the outcome finely balanced.
What matters before kick-off
Manolo González's 100th match
Espanyol head coach Manolo González reaches his 100th official match in charge of the Catalan club in the fixture against Sevilla.
Bryan Zaragoza's first squad call-up
Winger Bryan Zaragoza has been included in Espanyol's matchday squad for the first time ahead of their LaLiga clash against Sevilla following his transfer.
Leandro Cabrera returns
Espanyol captain Leandro Cabrera is available for selection once again after serving a three-match suspension.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.