Getafe CF — RC Celta de Vigo: Win probabilities, 07.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.1% |
| 12 | 65.5% | |
| X2 | 63.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.2% / 60.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.8% / 16.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 12.8% / 87.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.5% / 95.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.4% / 98.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.09.2026
Getafe CF
15th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:1
- 23.08.2026 home Santander 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Alaves 0:3
- 23.05.2026 home Osasuna 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Elche 0:1
RC Celta de Vigo
16th place · 3 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.09.2026 away Sociedad 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home Ath Bilbao 0:2
- 27.08.2026 home Osasuna 1:2
- 22.08.2026 away Valencia 0:0
- 16.08.2026 home Osasuna 0:0
This season: Getafe CF at home vs RC Celta de Vigo away
| Metric | Getafe CF · at home | RC Celta de Vigo · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.24 | 0.51 |
| xG against per match | 1.30 | 0.78 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 8.00 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.02.2026 Getafe CF 0:0 RC Celta de Vigo
- 17.08.2025 RC Celta de Vigo 0:2 Getafe CF
- 24.05.2025 Getafe CF 1:2 RC Celta de Vigo
- 04.11.2024 RC Celta de Vigo 1:0 Getafe CF
- 11.02.2024 Getafe CF 3:2 RC Celta de Vigo
- 08.10.2023 RC Celta de Vigo 2:2 Getafe CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Getafe CF and RC Celta de Vigo appear evenly matched ahead of their LaLiga meeting. The available assessment points to a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance should encourage a measured approach, particularly in the opening stages, as both teams look to avoid giving the opponent an early opportunity.
The expected profile is low-scoring, and a clean sheet is considered likely. This suggests that defensive organisation may have greater influence than sustained attacking pressure, with limited space and few clear chances potentially shaping the game. A draw is a credible outcome, while Getafe CF have a slight edge in the broader result pattern through the possibility of either a home win or a stalemate. The main expectation remains a close match in which small details could decide whether it finishes level or narrowly favours the hosts.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Results
In their previous LaLiga fixtures, Getafe suffered a 1-0 away defeat to Osasuna, while Celta Vigo drew 0-0 against Real Sociedad.
Early Season Goal Record
Both Getafe and Celta Vigo scored just one goal in their opening LaLiga matches of the 2026/2027 season heading into this fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.