Elche CF — Real Sociedad San Sebastian: Win probabilities, 07.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 53.2% |
| 12 | 73.4% | |
| X2 | 73.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.9% / 38.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.7% / 17.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.8% / 63.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.09.2026
Elche CF
19th place · 1 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 away Santander 2:3
- 23.08.2026 home Barcelona 0:5
- 17.08.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 23.05.2026 away Girona 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Getafe 1:0
Real Sociedad San Sebastian
14th place · 4 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.09.2026 home Celta 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Espanol 2:1
- 26.08.2026 away Real Madrid 1:4
- 21.08.2026 away Betis 0:1
- 23.05.2026 away Espanol 1:1
This season: Elche CF at home vs Real Sociedad San Sebastian away
| Metric | Elche CF · at home | Real Sociedad San Sebastian · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 5.00 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.70 | 0.96 |
| xG against per match | 4.38 | 2.19 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 07.02.2026 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 3:1 Elche CF
- 07.11.2025 Elche CF 1:1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian
- 19.03.2023 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 2:0 Elche CF
- 27.08.2022 Elche CF 0:1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian
- 10.04.2022 Elche CF 1:2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian
- 26.09.2021 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 1:0 Elche CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Elche CF face Real Sociedad San Sebastian in a LaLiga fixture that points towards a competitive but open contest. The assessment gives Real Sociedad San Sebastian a slight edge, although the balance is not strong enough to suggest a one-sided match. Elche CF should remain involved, particularly in a game where both teams are considered likely to score.
The expected profile is medium-scoring, with the main possibilities ranging from a draw to a narrow away victory. A level scoreline would fit the overall competitiveness of the matchup, while Real Sociedad San Sebastian have the stronger position among the outcome options. Elche CF will need to limit the visitors' opportunities and make their own attacking moments count, as the available signals favour a result that keeps the away side unbeaten. The central scenario is therefore a close match with goals at both ends and a slight advantage for Real Sociedad San Sebastian.
What matters before kick-off
Real Sociedad team news
Real Sociedad enter the match missing Álvaro Odriozola and Pablo Marín through injury, while Jon Pacheco is available again.
Teams' recent match results
Elche are seeking their first victory of the 2026/27 LaLiga season following a 2-3 loss to Racing Santander, while Real Sociedad drew 0-0 against Celta Vigo in their previous league match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.