Malaga CF — Levante UD: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.7% |
| 12 | 71.3% | |
| X2 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.7% / 22.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.7% / 70.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.5% / 85.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.1% / 93.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Malaga CF
20th place · 1 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Real Madrid 0:4
- 24.08.2026 home La Coruna 1:1
- 19.08.2026 away Ath Madrid 0:2
- 31.05.2026 away Zaragoza 2:0
- 24.05.2026 home Santander 1:1
Levante UD
10th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Betis 5:2
- 24.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:0
- 16.08.2026 away Espanol 0:3
- 23.05.2026 away Betis 1:2
- 17.05.2026 home Mallorca 2:0
This season: Malaga CF at home vs Levante UD away
| Metric | Malaga CF · at home | Levante UD · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.97 | 0.80 |
| xG against per match | 1.11 | 1.12 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Corners per match | 7.00 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 08.02.2025 Malaga CF 1:1 Levante UD
- 27.11.2024 Levante UD 4:2 Malaga CF
- 17.03.2023 Malaga CF 0:0 Levante UD
- 04.12.2022 Levante UD 1:0 Malaga CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Malaga CF and Levante UD look evenly matched ahead of their LaLiga meeting on 6 September 2026. The available assessment gives the hosts a slight edge in the result market, but the confidence is moderate rather than strong. That points to a contest where home advantage may matter, while Levante UD should remain firmly involved throughout the match.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with both teams scoring assessed as equally plausible and difficult to separate. The most representative scorelines are 1-1, 2-1, and 0-0, which reflect a broad range of possible match patterns rather than a clear attacking or defensive dominance. Overall, Malaga CF appear marginally better placed to avoid defeat, but the balance between the teams makes a draw a credible outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Levante's recent result
In their previous league match, Levante secured a 5-2 victory over Real Betis, scoring five goals in a La Liga fixture for the first time since 2018.
Head-to-head record at Malaga
Levante have never defeated Malaga away from home in their head-to-head history, recording four draws and seven losses in Malaga.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.