Vikingur Reykjavik — FC Thun: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.7% |
| 12 | 76.6% | |
| X2 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.8% / 32.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.5% / 13.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.3% / 54.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.6% / 73.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.6% / 86.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Vikingur Reykjavik and FC Thun appear evenly matched ahead of their UEFA Europa League qualification meeting. The overall assessment carries moderate confidence, so the contest is best viewed as one with limited separation between the sides rather than a fixture with a clear favourite. The available outlook gives neither team a decisive advantage, leaving the balance of the match likely to depend on how effectively each side manages transitions and chances in the attacking phases.
The scoring profile points towards an open game, with both teams likely to score. That suggests a match in which neither defence is expected to maintain complete control, while the attacking threat from both Vikingur Reykjavik and FC Thun should remain relevant across the contest. A draw is one plausible outcome, but a narrow victory for either side also fits the assessment. Overall, the BTTS signal is stronger than any firm result prediction, and the likely pattern is a competitive, high-scoring encounter with the result finely poised.
What matters before kick-off
First Leg Result
FC Thun enter the second leg with a 3-0 advantage following their home victory over Víkingur Reykjavík on August 6, 2026.
Second Leg in Iceland
The second leg of the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round tie takes place at Víkingsvöllur stadium in Reykjavik.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.