Besiktas Istanbul — FC Hradec Kralove: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.2% |
| 12 | 86.3% | |
| X2 | 22.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.6% / 53.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.2% / 16.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.4% / 36.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.2% / 58.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.1% / 76.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.3% / 88.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Besiktas Istanbul enter this UEFA Europa League qualifying tie as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence behind the home outcome. Their attacking profile points towards an open, high-scoring match, and the available scorelines suggest that they could create enough chances to build a comfortable advantage. FC Hradec Kralove will need to remain compact and disciplined, particularly during periods when Besiktas Istanbul control possession and increase the pressure.
The main uncertainty concerns FC Hradec Kralove’s contribution in front of goal. Both teams scoring is viewed as a balanced possibility rather than a defined expectation, so the match could develop in different ways depending on the visitors’ ability to convert their opportunities. A controlled Besiktas Istanbul performance could lead to a 2-0 or 3-0 result, while a tighter contest would be consistent with a 1-0 scoreline. Overall, the hosts have the stronger position, but the exact margin remains open.
What matters before kick-off
First leg advantage
Besiktas enters the second leg of the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round tie against FC Hradec Kralove with a 1-0 lead after winning the first leg in the Czech Republic.
Besiktas suspension
Besiktas player Kassoum Ouattara is unavailable for the return leg against FC Hradec Kralove due to a suspension following his red card in the first match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.