PFC CSKA Sofia — Maccabi Tel Aviv FC: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.7% |
| 12 | 72.3% | |
| X2 | 61.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.7% / 42.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.0% / 22.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.6% / 69.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.1% / 84.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.4% / 93.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
PFC CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv FC meet in a UEFA Europa League qualification tie that appears finely balanced. The available assessment points to an evenly matched contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests the tactical details may carry particular weight, as both teams are likely to see realistic opportunities to influence the game without being separated by a major difference in strength.
The expected scoring profile is medium-scoring, while the prospect of both teams finding the net remains uncertain. A draw is therefore a credible scenario, although the assessment also leaves room for either team to edge the match if it makes better use of its chances. The most plausible scoreline range points toward a close game, with 1-1, 2-1, and 1-2 all consistent with the balanced outlook. Expect a competitive qualification match in which the margin between PFC CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv FC may remain narrow throughout.
What matters before kick-off
Neutral venue in the first leg
The first leg of the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round was played on August 6, 2026, in Batumi, Georgia, due to UEFA restrictions on hosting international matches in Israel. PFC CSKA Sofia secured a 3-0 victory against Maccabi Tel Aviv FC in that fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.