Glasgow Rangers — Jagiellonia Bialystok: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.5% |
| 12 | 82.3% | |
| X2 | 30.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.5% / 15.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.4% / 35.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.1% / 75.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Glasgow Rangers have the clearer outlook in this UEFA Europa League qualification tie, with a moderate confidence level behind the assessment. The home side is considered clearly stronger than Jagiellonia Bialystok, and the market signal also points toward a home victory. That gives Glasgow Rangers the advantage in the overall match profile, although the qualification setting means the game should still be approached with some caution.
The scoring outlook suggests an open contest rather than a tightly controlled encounter, with a high-scoring game considered more likely. Whether both teams find the net is less clear, however, and remains finely balanced. The most plausible scorelines are 2:0, 2:1, and 1:0, indicating that Glasgow Rangers are expected to control the result while Jagiellonia Bialystok retain some possibility of making the match competitive.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
In the first leg of the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round on August 6, 2026, Jagiellonia Białystok defeated Rangers 2-1 in Poland.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.