Heart of Midlothian FC — SL Benfica: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 36.1% |
| 12 | 78.4% | |
| X2 | 85.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.9% / 39.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.8% / 13.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.0% / 34.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.1% / 55.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.6% / 74.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.9% / 87.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 home Dundee United 4:0
- 01.08.2026 away Aberdeen 1:2
- 16.05.2026 away Celtic 1:3
- 13.05.2026 home Falkirk 3:0
- 09.05.2026 away Motherwell 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 home Academico Viseu 2:2
- 16.05.2026 away Estoril 3:1
- 11.05.2026 home Sp Braga 2:2
- 02.05.2026 away Famalicao 2:2
- 25.04.2026 home Moreirense 4:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Heart of Midlothian FC host SL Benfica in a UEFA Europa League qualifying tie that appears to favour the visitors. The assessment gives SL Benfica a clear edge, although confidence is moderate rather than absolute. That suggests Heart of Midlothian FC will need to remain competitive across the match, while SL Benfica’s overall strength makes them the more likely side to control the decisive phases.
The scoring outlook points towards an open, high-scoring contest rather than a tightly contained game. Both teams scoring is considered finely balanced, so the match could develop in different ways depending on which side makes the stronger start. The most likely scorelines include a narrow two-goal win for SL Benfica, a closer victory, or a draw, with 0:2, 1:2 and 1:1 identified as the leading scenarios.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
SL Benfica secured a 6-1 victory over Heart of Midlothian FC in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League third qualifying round tie on August 6, 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.