KF Egnatia Rrogozhine — Shamrock Rovers: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.2% |
| 12 | 73.6% | |
| X2 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.5% / 39.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.6% / 6.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.2% / 18.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.4% / 42.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.0% / 65.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.2% / 81.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.3% / 91.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KF Egnatia Rrogozhine have a slight edge over Shamrock Rovers in this UEFA Europa League qualification tie, although the moderate confidence level points to a competitive match rather than a clear imbalance. The home side may be able to use its venue to establish the better platform, but Shamrock Rovers are also expected to remain firmly involved in the contest.
The outlook suggests a medium-scoring game in which both teams are likely to find the net. That makes the match difficult to frame as a one-sided affair, with the visitors capable of creating enough pressure to challenge KF Egnatia Rrogozhine throughout. The overall signal favours the hosts avoiding defeat, while a draw remains a realistic outcome if the two sides cancel each other out for long periods. Expect a balanced qualification encounter with a narrow advantage for KF Egnatia Rrogozhine.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
Shamrock Rovers hold a 3-1 lead over KF Egnatia following the first leg of their UEFA Europa League third qualifying round tie played on August 4, 2026.
Naj Razi injured
Shamrock Rovers midfielder Naj Razi suffered a fractured jaw during the first leg against KF Egnatia and is sidelined for several weeks.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.