CS Universitatea Craiova — Kuopion Palloseura: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 89.3% |
| 12 | 80.7% | |
| X2 | 30.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 41.8% / 58.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.2% / 24.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.6% / 71.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.7% / 86.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.7% / 94.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CS Universitatea Craiova enter this UEFA Europa League qualification tie as the clearly stronger side on the available assessment. The hosts have a moderate confidence advantage, suggesting a controlled performance is more likely than an open or unpredictable contest. Kuopion Palloseura will need to remain disciplined, particularly if CS Universitatea Craiova establish territorial control early.
The scoring outlook points to a medium-scoring match, with a clean sheet considered likely. That makes a home victory built on defensive organisation and efficient attacking moments the main scenario. Possible scorelines include 2-0, 1-0 and 3-0, all indicating that Kuopion Palloseura could find it difficult to create enough opportunities to change the balance of the tie.
What matters before kick-off
1-1 draw in the first leg
The first leg of the third qualifying round between KuPS and Universitatea Craiova in Finland ended in a 1-1 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.