Viking FK — Bayern Munich: Win probabilities, 13.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
4.5%
Home win
Viking FK
X
5.8%
Draw
W2
89.7%
Away win
Bayern Munich
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X295.5%
Both teams to score
Yes55.1%
Totals 2.5
Over85.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 10.3% |
| 12 | 94.2% | |
| X2 | 95.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 99.8% / 0.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 85.2% / 14.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 69.7% / 30.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 33.9% / 66.1% |
Goal distribution model
Viking FK × Bayern Munich
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
0.2%
0:1
4.0%
0:2
6.6%
0:3
8.6%
0:4
8.4%
0:5
6.6%
1
1:0
1.4%
1:1
2.2%
1:2
5.6%
1:3
7.3%
1:4
7.1%
1:5
5.5%
2
2:0
0.3%
2:1
1.2%
2:2
2.4%
2:3
3.1%
2:4
3.0%
2:5
2.3%
3
3:0
0.1%
3:1
0.3%
3:2
0.7%
3:3
0.9%
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.7%
4
4:0
0.0%
4:1
0.1%
4:2
0.1%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.0%
5:2
0.0%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
0:38.6%
0:48.4%
1:37.3%
1:47.1%
0:26.6%
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