Inter Milano — Club Brugge: Win probabilities, 13.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
78.4%
Home win
Inter Milano
X
14.2%
Draw
W2
7.3%
Away win
Club Brugge
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X92.7%
Both teams to score
Yes53.4%
Totals 2.5
Over71.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.7% |
| 12 | 85.8% | |
| X2 | 21.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.7% / 11.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.0% / 29.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.8% / 69.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.6% / 83.4% |
Goal distribution model
Inter Milano × Club Brugge
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.1%
0:1
1.5%
0:2
0.9%
0:3
0.2%
0:4
0.0%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
6.6%
1:1
6.5%
1:2
2.4%
1:3
0.7%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
10.3%
2:1
8.5%
2:2
3.5%
2:3
1.0%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
9.8%
3:1
8.1%
3:2
3.3%
3:3
0.9%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
7.0%
4:1
5.8%
4:2
2.4%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
4.0%
5:1
3.3%
5:2
1.3%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:010.3%
3:09.8%
2:18.5%
3:18.1%
4:07.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Roma 2:2
- 14.09.2026 home Udinese 5:3
- 05.09.2026 home Napoli 3:2
- 30.08.2026 away Cagliari 1:0
- 22.08.2026 home Monza 4:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Genk 3:0
- 13.09.2026 home Antwerp 3:1
- 04.09.2026 away Lommel SK 1:0
- 30.08.2026 away Gent 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 1:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.