Galatasaray Istanbul — FC Barcelona: Win probabilities, 13.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
9.3%
Home win
Galatasaray Istanbul
X
12.2%
Draw
W2
78.5%
Away win
FC Barcelona
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X290.7%
Both teams to score
Yes66.3%
Totals 2.5
Over82.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 21.5% |
| 12 | 87.8% | |
| X2 | 90.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.3% / 33.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.8% / 1.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 93.9% / 6.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 82.4% / 17.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 65.5% / 34.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 46.4% / 53.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 29.4% / 70.6% |
Goal distribution model
Galatasaray Istanbul × FC Barcelona
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.2%
0:1
3.7%
0:2
6.2%
0:3
6.9%
0:4
5.7%
0:5
3.8%
1
1:0
1.2%
1:1
4.5%
1:2
7.2%
1:3
8.0%
1:4
6.7%
1:5
4.4%
2
2:0
0.8%
2:1
2.5%
2:2
4.2%
2:3
4.6%
2:4
3.9%
2:5
2.6%
3
3:0
0.3%
3:1
1.0%
3:2
1.6%
3:3
1.8%
3:4
1.5%
3:5
1.0%
4
4:0
0.1%
4:1
0.3%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.3%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:38.0%
1:27.2%
0:36.9%
1:46.7%
0:26.2%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Trabzonspor 0:4
- 13.09.2026 home Kocaelispor 1:0
- 04.09.2026 away Buyuksehyr 3:2
- 29.08.2026 home Goztep 3:2
- 21.08.2026 away Erzurumspor 4:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Sevilla 3:1
- 16.09.2026 home Santander 7:2
- 13.09.2026 away Levante 4:2
- 06.09.2026 away Valencia 5:0
- 31.08.2026 home Vallecano 5:2
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
Galatasaray Istanbul wins0
Draws1
FC Barcelona wins1
Goals per match1.50
Both teams scored1/2
Over 2.5 goals1/2
- 17.03.2022 Galatasaray 1:2 Barcelona
- 10.03.2022 Barcelona 0:0 Galatasaray
Sources: football-data.co.uk, API-Football. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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