Venezia FC — Lazio Rome: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.5% |
| 12 | 73.3% | |
| X2 | 76.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.3% / 38.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.8% / 17.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.6% / 63.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.4% / 80.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.0% / 91.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Venezia FC
20th place · 0 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.09.2026 home Fiorentina 2:4
- 06.09.2026 away Frosinone 2:3
- 28.08.2026 away Milan 0:2
- 23.08.2026 home Lecce 0:2
- 08.05.2026 home Palermo 2:0
Lazio Rome
4th place · 10 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 home Milan 2:2
- 07.09.2026 away Udinese 2:1
- 30.08.2026 home Genoa 1:0
- 24.08.2026 away Bologna 1:0
- 23.05.2026 home Pisa 2:1
This season: Venezia FC at home vs Lazio Rome away
| Metric | Venezia FC · at home | Lazio Rome · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 2–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.27 | 1.26 |
| xG against per match | 3.01 | 1.28 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 22.02.2025 Venezia FC 0:0 Lazio Rome
- 18.08.2024 Lazio Rome 3:1 Venezia FC
- 14.03.2022 Lazio Rome 1:0 Venezia FC
- 22.12.2021 Venezia FC 1:3 Lazio Rome
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Venezia FC face Lazio Rome in a Serie A fixture where the visitors hold a slight edge. The assessment points towards a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with Lazio Rome better placed to avoid defeat. Venezia FC should still have opportunities to make an impact, particularly in a game expected to offer a reasonable amount of attacking play from both sides.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. That suggests Venezia FC may be able to challenge Lazio Rome in open phases, while the visitors retain the greater attacking edge overall. The most plausible paths include a balanced draw or a narrow Lazio Rome victory, with the defensive margin between the teams appearing limited. A cautious view therefore favours the visitors in the result market while allowing for Venezia FC to remain competitive throughout.
What matters before kick-off
Venezia FC squad list for the Lazio fixture
Venezia FC head coach Giovanni Stroppa has called up a 25-man squad for Matchday 5 of Serie A against Lazio. The selection features goalkeepers Grandi, Montipò, and Stankovic alongside forwards Adams, Fernández, Lauberbach, Rrahmani, and Yeboah.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.