Bologna FC — Torino FC: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.3% |
| 12 | 71.9% | |
| X2 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.8% / 9.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.0% / 26.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.6% / 74.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Bologna FC
17th place · 1 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 away Napoli 0:1
- 06.09.2026 home Sassuolo 2:2
- 31.08.2026 away Atalanta 0:1
- 24.08.2026 home Lazio 0:1
- 23.05.2026 home Inter 3:3
Torino FC
15th place · 3 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.09.2026 home Roma 0:2
- 05.09.2026 away Fiorentina 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Sassuolo 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Milan 1:2
- 24.05.2026 home Juventus 2:2
This season: Bologna FC at home vs Torino FC away
| Metric | Bologna FC · at home | Torino FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.83 | 0.92 |
| xG against per match | 1.13 | 1.76 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.02.2026 Torino FC 1:2 Bologna FC
- 29.10.2025 Bologna FC 0:0 Torino FC
- 14.02.2025 Bologna FC 3:2 Torino FC
- 21.12.2024 Torino FC 0:2 Bologna FC
- 03.05.2024 Torino FC 0:0 Bologna FC
- 27.11.2023 Bologna FC 2:0 Torino FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Bologna FC meet Torino FC in Serie A on 19 September 2026, with the hosts holding a slight edge according to the available assessment. The confidence in that reading is high, although the indication points toward a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest. The expected scoring profile is medium-scoring, suggesting enough attacking threat for the game to develop beyond a tightly restricted affair.
The prospect of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so neither outcome should be treated as the central expectation. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1, reflecting a narrow range between a draw and a controlled Bologna FC victory. Torino FC remain close enough in the assessment for the match to require patience from the hosts, particularly if the visitors keep the contest compact. Overall, the signal favours Bologna FC avoiding defeat, with the main question being whether their slight advantage can produce all three points.
What matters before kick-off
Bologna Managerial Change
Raffaele Palladino makes his debut as Bologna's new manager against Torino, taking over from Domenico Tedesco after the club picked up just one point from their opening four Serie A fixtures.
Che Adams Injury Blow for Torino
Torino striker Che Adams has been ruled out of the trip to Bologna due to an injury.
Bologna Unbeaten Home Streak Against Torino
Bologna are unbeaten in their last 10 top-flight home encounters against Torino.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.