Vancouver Whitecaps FC — Seattle Sounders: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
63.6%
Home win
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
X
19.6%
Draw
W2
16.8%
Away win
Seattle Sounders
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X83.2%
Both teams to score
Yes66.9%
Totals 2.5
Over72.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.2% |
| 12 | 80.4% | |
| X2 | 36.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.9% / 33.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.8% / 3.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.7% / 27.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.7% / 67.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.1% / 81.9% |
Goal distribution model
Vancouver Whitecaps FC × Seattle Sounders
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.2%
0:1
2.0%
0:2
1.8%
0:3
0.8%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
4.9%
1:1
8.2%
1:2
4.6%
1:3
1.9%
1:4
0.6%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.2%
2:1
9.1%
2:2
5.8%
2:3
2.4%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
6.0%
3:1
7.6%
3:2
4.8%
3:3
2.0%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
3.8%
4:1
4.8%
4:2
3.0%
4:3
1.3%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.9%
5:1
2.4%
5:2
1.5%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
2:19.1%
1:18.2%
3:17.6%
2:07.2%
3:06.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 18.10.2026 away Austin FC 2:1
- 15.10.2026 away St. Louis City 0:0
- 11.10.2026 away Los Angeles FC 1:1
- 07.10.2026 away Chicago Fire 1:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away San Diego FC 2:2
- 18.10.2026 home CF Montreal 1:1
- 15.10.2026 away FC Dallas 0:1
- 11.10.2026 away New England Revolution 3:0
- 02.10.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 2:1
This season: Vancouver Whitecaps FC at home vs Seattle Sounders away
| Metric | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · at home | Seattle Sounders · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 9–2–4 | 4–6–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.33 | 1.06 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins3
Draws2
Seattle Sounders wins1
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 17.08.2026 Seattle Sounders 0:2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 28.09.2025 Seattle Sounders 2:2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 09.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:0 Seattle Sounders
- 03.10.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0:3 Seattle Sounders
- 19.05.2024 Seattle Sounders 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 21.04.2024 Seattle Sounders 0:2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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