Colorado Rapids — Chicago Fire: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
42.5%
Home win
Colorado Rapids
X
25.1%
Draw
W2
32.4%
Away win
Chicago Fire
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.9%
Both teams to score
Yes64.6%
Totals 2.5
Over62.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.6% |
| 12 | 74.9% | |
| X2 | 57.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.6% / 35.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.0% / 5.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.0% / 16.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.3% / 37.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.1% / 59.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.2% / 77.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.7% / 89.3% |
Goal distribution model
Colorado Rapids × Chicago Fire
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.0%
0:1
5.0%
0:2
4.4%
0:3
2.2%
0:4
0.8%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
6.0%
1:1
11.3%
1:2
7.7%
1:3
3.8%
1:4
1.4%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
6.0%
2:1
8.9%
2:2
6.6%
2:3
3.3%
2:4
1.2%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
3.4%
3:1
5.1%
3:2
3.8%
3:3
1.9%
3:4
0.7%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
1.5%
4:1
2.2%
4:2
1.6%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.5%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.3%
2:18.9%
1:27.7%
2:26.6%
2:06.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 1:0
- 18.10.2026 away Portland Timbers 0:0
- 15.10.2026 home Minnesota United 2:2
- 11.10.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
- 27.09.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 2:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Atlanta Utd 3:2
- 18.10.2026 away New England Revolution 0:1
- 15.10.2026 home Philadelphia Union 1:3
- 10.10.2026 home New York City 2:1
- 07.10.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 3:1
This season: Colorado Rapids at home vs Chicago Fire away
| Metric | Colorado Rapids · at home | Chicago Fire · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 10–3–3 | 6–5–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.94 | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 69% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 69% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Colorado Rapids wins2
Draws2
Chicago Fire wins2
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 20.04.2019 Chicago Fire 4:1 Colorado Rapids
- 14.06.2018 Colorado Rapids 2:2 Chicago Fire
- 18.05.2017 Chicago Fire 3:0 Colorado Rapids
- 19.06.2016 Colorado Rapids 2:1 Chicago Fire
- 23.08.2015 Chicago Fire 0:1 Colorado Rapids
- 05.06.2014 Colorado Rapids 0:0 Chicago Fire
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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