Sporting Kansas City — FC Dallas: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
27.8%
Home win
Sporting Kansas City
X
23.0%
Draw
W2
49.2%
Away win
FC Dallas
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1277.0%
Both teams to score
Yes71.3%
Totals 2.5
Over71.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.8% |
| 12 | 77.0% | |
| X2 | 72.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 71.3% / 28.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.5% / 3.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.7% / 10.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.9% / 28.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.8% / 68.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.3% / 82.7% |
Goal distribution model
Sporting Kansas City × FC Dallas
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.5%
0:1
4.1%
0:2
5.5%
0:3
3.9%
0:4
2.1%
0:5
0.9%
1
1:0
2.8%
1:1
9.3%
1:2
8.7%
1:3
6.2%
1:4
3.3%
1:5
1.4%
2
2:0
3.1%
2:1
6.5%
2:2
7.0%
2:3
4.9%
2:4
2.6%
2:5
1.1%
3
3:0
1.6%
3:1
3.5%
3:2
3.7%
3:3
2.6%
3:4
1.4%
3:5
0.6%
4
4:0
0.6%
4:1
1.4%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.6%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:19.3%
1:28.7%
2:27.0%
2:16.5%
1:36.2%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Austin FC 1:2
- 18.10.2026 home Real Salt Lake 1:3
- 15.10.2026 away Nashville SC 0:4
- 11.10.2026 home Portland Timbers 3:3
- 02.10.2026 away Seattle Sounders 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 3:0
- 18.10.2026 away Houston Dynamo 2:2
- 15.10.2026 home Seattle Sounders 1:0
- 11.10.2026 away Charlotte 2:3
- 27.09.2026 home Los Angeles FC 1:0
This season: Sporting Kansas City at home vs FC Dallas away
| Metric | Sporting Kansas City · at home | FC Dallas · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 3–4–9 | 7–4–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.13 | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 81% | 63% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Sporting Kansas City wins2
Draws0
FC Dallas wins4
Goals per match4.50
Both teams scored6/6
Over 2.5 goals6/6
- 06.09.2026 FC Dallas 4:3 Sporting Kansas City
- 15.06.2025 Sporting Kansas City 2:4 FC Dallas
- 30.03.2025 FC Dallas 2:1 Sporting Kansas City
- 20.10.2024 FC Dallas 2:1 Sporting Kansas City
- 08.07.2024 Sporting Kansas City 3:2 FC Dallas
- 01.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City 2:1 FC Dallas
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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