Columbus Crew — DC United: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
63.1%
Home win
Columbus Crew
X
19.7%
Draw
W2
17.2%
Away win
DC United
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X82.8%
Both teams to score
Yes66.8%
Totals 2.5
Over72.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.8% |
| 12 | 80.3% | |
| X2 | 36.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.8% / 33.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.7% / 10.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.5% / 27.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.5% / 67.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.9% / 82.1% |
Goal distribution model
Columbus Crew × DC United
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.1%
0:1
2.1%
0:2
1.9%
0:3
0.8%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
5.0%
1:1
8.2%
1:2
4.7%
1:3
2.0%
1:4
0.6%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.2%
2:1
9.2%
2:2
5.8%
2:3
2.5%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
6.0%
3:1
7.6%
3:2
4.8%
3:3
2.1%
3:4
0.7%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
3.7%
4:1
4.7%
4:2
3.0%
4:3
1.3%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.9%
5:1
2.4%
5:2
1.5%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
2:19.2%
1:18.2%
3:17.6%
2:07.2%
3:06.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Toronto FC 4:2
- 18.10.2026 away FC Cincinnati 2:0
- 15.10.2026 home Charlotte 3:1
- 11.10.2026 away Orlando City 2:3
- 28.09.2026 home Inter Miami 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home FC Cincinnati 0:2
- 22.10.2026 away FC Cincinnati 1:2
- 18.10.2026 away Orlando City 1:4
- 15.10.2026 home New York Red Bulls 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away Inter Miami 0:4
This season: Columbus Crew at home vs DC United away
| Metric | Columbus Crew · at home | DC United · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 8–2–6 | 2–7–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.63 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.19 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 53% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Columbus Crew wins3
Draws2
DC United wins1
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 10.09.2026 DC United 2:1 Columbus Crew
- 20.07.2025 Columbus Crew 2:1 DC United
- 29.03.2025 DC United 1:2 Columbus Crew
- 29.09.2024 DC United 2:2 Columbus Crew
- 07.04.2024 Columbus Crew 1:1 DC United
- 09.04.2023 DC United 0:2 Columbus Crew
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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