Saint Louis City SC — San Diego FC: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
59.1%
Home win
Saint Louis City SC
X
20.6%
Draw
W2
20.3%
Away win
San Diego FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X79.7%
Both teams to score
Yes68.5%
Totals 2.5
Over72.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.7% |
| 12 | 79.4% | |
| X2 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.5% / 31.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.7% / 10.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.4% / 27.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.4% / 67.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.8% / 82.2% |
Goal distribution model
Saint Louis City SC × San Diego FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.1%
0:1
2.4%
0:2
2.2%
0:3
1.0%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
4.8%
1:1
8.4%
1:2
5.2%
1:3
2.4%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
6.6%
2:1
9.1%
2:2
6.3%
2:3
2.9%
2:4
1.0%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
5.3%
3:1
7.2%
3:2
5.0%
3:3
2.3%
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
3.1%
4:1
4.3%
4:2
3.0%
4:3
1.4%
4:4
0.5%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.5%
5:1
2.1%
5:2
1.4%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
2:19.1%
1:18.4%
3:17.2%
2:06.6%
2:26.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Real Salt Lake 0:3
- 17.10.2026 away Minnesota United 2:3
- 15.10.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 0:0
- 12.10.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 6:2
- 01.10.2026 away New York Red Bulls 3:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Seattle Sounders 2:2
- 18.10.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 2:2
- 15.10.2026 home Houston Dynamo 3:3
- 11.10.2026 away New York Red Bulls 1:4
- 27.09.2026 away Austin FC 3:3
This season: Saint Louis City SC at home vs San Diego FC away
| Metric | Saint Louis City SC · at home | San Diego FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 9–4–2 | 2–6–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.27 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.27 | 1.93 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 53% |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
Saint Louis City SC wins0
Draws1
San Diego FC wins2
Goals per match1.67
Both teams scored1/3
Over 2.5 goals1/3
- 02.03.2026 San Diego FC 2:0 Saint Louis City SC
- 11.05.2025 Saint Louis City SC 1:2 San Diego FC
- 02.03.2025 San Diego FC 0:0 Saint Louis City SC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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