Charlotte FC — Orlando City SC: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
51.1%
Home win
Charlotte FC
X
22.0%
Draw
W2
26.9%
Away win
Orlando City SC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1278.0%
Both teams to score
Yes74.6%
Totals 2.5
Over76.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.1% |
| 12 | 78.0% | |
| X2 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 74.6% / 25.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.1% / 2.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 76.3% / 23.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 37.2% / 62.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 21.6% / 78.4% |
Goal distribution model
Charlotte FC × Orlando City SC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.9%
0:1
2.0%
0:2
2.6%
0:3
1.5%
0:4
0.6%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
3.1%
1:1
8.2%
1:2
6.0%
1:3
3.4%
1:4
1.4%
1:5
0.5%
2
2:0
4.9%
2:1
8.3%
2:2
7.0%
2:3
3.9%
2:4
1.6%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
3.8%
3:1
6.4%
3:2
5.4%
3:3
3.0%
3:4
1.3%
3:5
0.4%
4
4:0
2.2%
4:1
3.7%
4:2
3.1%
4:3
1.8%
4:4
0.7%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
1.0%
5:1
1.7%
5:2
1.5%
5:3
0.8%
5:4
0.3%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
2:18.3%
1:18.2%
2:27.0%
3:16.4%
1:26.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Portland Timbers 2:3
- 17.10.2026 away Philadelphia Union 2:2
- 15.10.2026 away Columbus Crew 1:3
- 11.10.2026 home FC Dallas 3:2
- 27.09.2026 home Chicago Fire 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home New York City 2:2
- 18.10.2026 home DC United 4:1
- 15.10.2026 away Toronto FC 3:3
- 11.10.2026 home Columbus Crew 3:2
- 27.09.2026 away Philadelphia Union 2:4
This season: Charlotte FC at home vs Orlando City SC away
| Metric | Charlotte FC · at home | Orlando City SC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 8–4–3 | 3–3–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.07 | 3.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 87% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Charlotte FC wins0
Draws3
Orlando City SC wins3
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 23.04.2026 Orlando City SC 4:1 Charlotte FC
- 06.07.2025 Charlotte FC 2:2 Orlando City SC
- 15.05.2025 Orlando City SC 3:1 Charlotte FC
- 09.11.2024 Orlando City SC 1:1 Charlotte FC
- 01.11.2024 Charlotte FC 0:0 Orlando City SC
- 27.10.2024 Orlando City SC 2:0 Charlotte FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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