Los Angeles Galaxy — Austin FC: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
58.0%
Home win
Los Angeles Galaxy
X
21.4%
Draw
W2
20.6%
Away win
Austin FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X79.4%
Both teams to score
Yes68.4%
Totals 2.5
Over71.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.4% |
| 12 | 78.6% | |
| X2 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.4% / 31.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.5% / 3.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.5% / 10.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.6% / 28.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.4% / 68.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.1% / 82.9% |
Goal distribution model
Los Angeles Galaxy × Austin FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.5%
0:1
2.3%
0:2
2.3%
0:3
1.1%
0:4
0.4%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
4.7%
1:1
8.9%
1:2
5.4%
1:3
2.5%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
6.7%
2:1
9.2%
2:2
6.3%
2:3
2.9%
2:4
1.0%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
5.2%
3:1
7.2%
3:2
4.9%
3:3
2.2%
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
3.0%
4:1
4.2%
4:2
2.9%
4:3
1.3%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.4%
5:1
2.0%
5:2
1.3%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
2:19.2%
1:18.9%
3:17.2%
2:06.7%
2:26.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 away Los Angeles FC 2:2
- 18.10.2026 home San Diego FC 2:2
- 15.10.2026 home Portland Timbers 2:0
- 12.10.2026 away St. Louis City 2:6
- 27.09.2026 home Colorado Rapids 3:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 2:1
- 18.10.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 1:2
- 15.10.2026 away Los Angeles FC 1:3
- 11.10.2026 home Nashville SC 1:4
- 27.09.2026 home San Diego FC 3:3
This season: Los Angeles Galaxy at home vs Austin FC away
| Metric | Los Angeles Galaxy · at home | Austin FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 6–6–4 | 4–4–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 88% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 69% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Los Angeles Galaxy wins2
Draws1
Austin FC wins3
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 11.04.2026 Austin FC 1:2 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 17.07.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy 1:2 Austin FC
- 19.04.2025 Austin FC 1:0 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 06.10.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1 Austin FC
- 27.04.2024 Austin FC 2:0 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 25.09.2023 Austin FC 3:3 Los Angeles Galaxy
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.