San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
47.2%
Home win
San Jose Earthquakes
X
23.0%
Draw
W2
29.8%
Away win
Real Salt Lake
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1277.0%
Both teams to score
Yes71.9%
Totals 2.5
Over72.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.2% |
| 12 | 77.0% | |
| X2 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 71.9% / 28.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.6% / 3.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.8% / 10.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.2% / 27.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.2% / 67.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
Goal distribution model
San Jose Earthquakes × Real Salt Lake
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.4%
0:1
2.9%
0:2
3.2%
0:3
1.8%
0:4
0.7%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
3.9%
1:1
9.2%
1:2
6.8%
1:3
3.7%
1:4
1.5%
1:5
0.5%
2
2:0
5.2%
2:1
8.5%
2:2
7.1%
2:3
3.9%
2:4
1.6%
2:5
0.5%
3
3:0
3.6%
3:1
6.0%
3:2
4.9%
3:3
2.7%
3:4
1.1%
3:5
0.4%
4
4:0
1.9%
4:1
3.1%
4:2
2.6%
4:3
1.4%
4:4
0.6%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.8%
5:1
1.3%
5:2
1.1%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:19.2%
2:18.5%
2:27.1%
1:26.8%
3:16.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away FC Dallas 0:3
- 18.10.2026 home Nashville SC 1:1
- 15.10.2026 away Real Salt Lake 1:1
- 11.10.2026 away Colorado Rapids 1:1
- 27.09.2026 home Portland Timbers 3:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home St. Louis City 3:0
- 18.10.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 3:1
- 15.10.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
- 11.10.2026 away Philadelphia Union 1:2
- 27.09.2026 home New England Revolution 3:0
This season: San Jose Earthquakes at home vs Real Salt Lake away
| Metric | San Jose Earthquakes · at home | Real Salt Lake · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 6–4–5 | 2–3–10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.73 | 1.13 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.53 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
San Jose Earthquakes wins3
Draws1
Real Salt Lake wins2
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 15.10.2026 Real Salt Lake 1:1 San Jose Earthquakes
- 27.07.2025 Real Salt Lake 2:1 San Jose Earthquakes
- 23.02.2025 San Jose Earthquakes 4:0 Real Salt Lake
- 06.10.2024 San Jose Earthquakes 0:1 Real Salt Lake
- 25.08.2024 Real Salt Lake 0:2 San Jose Earthquakes
- 17.09.2023 San Jose Earthquakes 2:1 Real Salt Lake
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.