Portland Timbers — Houston Dynamo: Win probabilities, 02.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
46.1%
Home win
Portland Timbers
X
24.6%
Draw
W2
29.3%
Away win
Houston Dynamo
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1275.4%
Both teams to score
Yes63.8%
Totals 2.5
Over62.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.7% |
| 12 | 75.4% | |
| X2 | 53.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.8% / 36.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.7% / 16.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.0% / 38.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.8% / 60.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.0% / 78.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.6% / 89.4% |
Goal distribution model
Portland Timbers × Houston Dynamo
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.9%
0:1
4.9%
0:2
4.0%
0:3
1.9%
0:4
0.7%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
6.5%
1:1
11.1%
1:2
7.2%
1:3
3.4%
1:4
1.2%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.6%
2:1
9.2%
2:2
6.5%
2:3
3.0%
2:4
1.1%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
4.0%
3:1
5.5%
3:2
3.9%
3:3
1.8%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
1.8%
4:1
2.5%
4:2
1.7%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.6%
5:1
0.9%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.1%
2:19.2%
1:27.2%
2:06.6%
1:06.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Charlotte 3:2
- 18.10.2026 home Colorado Rapids 0:0
- 15.10.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 0:2
- 11.10.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 3:3
- 27.09.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 1:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Minnesota United 0:0
- 18.10.2026 home FC Dallas 2:2
- 15.10.2026 away San Diego FC 3:3
- 11.10.2026 away Minnesota United 2:2
- 27.09.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 0:2
This season: Portland Timbers at home vs Houston Dynamo away
| Metric | Portland Timbers · at home | Houston Dynamo · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 8–4–4 | 5–4–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.13 | 1.47 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 81% | 47% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Portland Timbers wins1
Draws1
Houston Dynamo wins4
Goals per match3.17
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 15.03.2026 Houston Dynamo 3:2 Portland Timbers
- 21.09.2025 Houston Dynamo 1:0 Portland Timbers
- 31.03.2025 Portland Timbers 3:1 Houston Dynamo
- 02.06.2024 Portland Timbers 2:2 Houston Dynamo
- 17.03.2024 Houston Dynamo 1:0 Portland Timbers
- 22.10.2023 Portland Timbers 1:3 Houston Dynamo
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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