Los Angeles FC — Minnesota United FC: Win probabilities, 02.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
57.2%
Home win
Los Angeles FC
X
21.9%
Draw
W2
20.8%
Away win
Minnesota United FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X79.2%
Both teams to score
Yes68.2%
Totals 2.5
Over70.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.2% |
| 12 | 78.1% | |
| X2 | 42.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.2% / 31.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.3% / 3.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.2% / 10.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.9% / 29.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 49.9% / 50.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.6% / 69.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.5% / 83.5% |
Goal distribution model
Los Angeles FC × Minnesota United FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.7%
0:1
2.3%
0:2
2.4%
0:3
1.1%
0:4
0.4%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
4.7%
1:1
9.2%
1:2
5.5%
1:3
2.5%
1:4
0.9%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
6.8%
2:1
9.2%
2:2
6.3%
2:3
2.9%
2:4
1.0%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
5.2%
3:1
7.1%
3:2
4.8%
3:3
2.2%
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
3.0%
4:1
4.1%
4:2
2.8%
4:3
1.3%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.4%
5:1
1.9%
5:2
1.3%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
2:19.2%
1:19.2%
3:17.1%
2:06.8%
2:26.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 2:2
- 18.10.2026 away New York City 1:1
- 15.10.2026 home Austin FC 3:1
- 11.10.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 1:1
- 27.09.2026 away FC Dallas 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Houston Dynamo 0:0
- 17.10.2026 home St. Louis City 3:2
- 15.10.2026 away Colorado Rapids 2:2
- 11.10.2026 home Houston Dynamo 2:2
- 27.09.2026 away Seattle Sounders 1:3
This season: Los Angeles FC at home vs Minnesota United FC away
| Metric | Los Angeles FC · at home | Minnesota United FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 9–4–3 | 5–4–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.94 | 2.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 81% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 81% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Los Angeles FC wins5
Draws0
Minnesota United FC wins1
Goals per match2.17
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals1/6
- 25.04.2026 Minnesota United FC 0:1 Los Angeles FC
- 17.07.2025 Minnesota United FC 0:1 Los Angeles FC
- 22.02.2025 Los Angeles FC 1:0 Minnesota United FC
- 30.05.2024 Los Angeles FC 2:0 Minnesota United FC
- 17.03.2024 Minnesota United FC 2:0 Los Angeles FC
- 05.10.2023 Los Angeles FC 5:1 Minnesota United FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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