New England Revolution — Inter Miami CF: Win probabilities, 02.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
35.2%
Home win
New England Revolution
X
22.9%
Draw
W2
41.9%
Away win
Inter Miami CF
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1277.1%
Both teams to score
Yes75.7%
Totals 2.5
Over76.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.1% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 64.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 75.7% / 24.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.0% / 3.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.9% / 8.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 76.0% / 24.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 36.9% / 63.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 21.3% / 78.7% |
Goal distribution model
New England Revolution × Inter Miami CF
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.0%
0:1
2.7%
0:2
4.0%
0:3
2.8%
0:4
1.4%
0:5
0.6%
1
1:0
2.4%
1:1
8.5%
1:2
7.7%
1:3
5.3%
1:4
2.8%
1:5
1.2%
2
2:0
3.4%
2:1
7.0%
2:2
7.3%
2:3
5.1%
2:4
2.6%
2:5
1.1%
3
3:0
2.1%
3:1
4.5%
3:2
4.6%
3:3
3.2%
3:4
1.7%
3:5
0.7%
4
4:0
1.0%
4:1
2.1%
4:2
2.2%
4:3
1.5%
4:4
0.8%
4:5
0.3%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.8%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.3%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:18.5%
1:27.7%
2:27.3%
2:17.0%
1:35.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Philadelphia Union 2:1
- 18.10.2026 home Chicago Fire 1:0
- 15.10.2026 away FC Cincinnati 3:2
- 11.10.2026 home Seattle Sounders 0:3
- 27.09.2026 away Real Salt Lake 0:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away New York Red Bulls 0:2
- 18.10.2026 away Atlanta Utd 3:1
- 15.10.2026 home New York City 2:0
- 11.10.2026 home DC United 4:0
- 28.09.2026 away Columbus Crew 1:2
This season: New England Revolution at home vs Inter Miami CF away
| Metric | New England Revolution · at home | Inter Miami CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 10–2–3 | 9–3–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.07 | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 69% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 69% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
New England Revolution wins1
Draws1
Inter Miami CF wins4
Goals per match4.50
Both teams scored6/6
Over 2.5 goals5/6
- 26.04.2026 Inter Miami CF 1:1 New England Revolution
- 05.10.2025 Inter Miami CF 4:1 New England Revolution
- 10.07.2025 New England Revolution 1:2 Inter Miami CF
- 19.10.2024 Inter Miami CF 6:2 New England Revolution
- 28.04.2024 New England Revolution 1:4 Inter Miami CF
- 11.06.2023 New England Revolution 3:1 Inter Miami CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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