Vancouver Whitecaps FC — Saint Louis City SC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.6% |
| 12 | 81.8% | |
| X2 | 32.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.3% / 38.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.8% / 3.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.7% / 12.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.4% / 30.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.1% / 51.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.0% / 71.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.3% / 84.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 3:0
- 23.08.2026 home FC Dallas 5:0
- 20.08.2026 home Houston Dynamo 0:1
- 17.08.2026 away Seattle Sounders 2:0
- 02.08.2026 home Los Angeles FC 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.08.2026 home FC Dallas 3:3
- 23.08.2026 home Houston Dynamo 2:1
- 20.08.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 1:1
- 16.08.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 3:1
- 02.08.2026 home Real Salt Lake 1:1
This season: Vancouver Whitecaps FC at home vs Saint Louis City SC away
| Metric | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · at home | Saint Louis City SC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 8–1–2 | 3–4–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.45 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.55 | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 27% | 64% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 24.08.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:2 Saint Louis City SC
- 20.04.2025 Saint Louis City SC 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 14.07.2024 Saint Louis City SC 1:4 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 30.06.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 4:3 Saint Louis City SC
- 05.10.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:0 Saint Louis City SC
- 28.05.2023 Saint Louis City SC 3:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Vancouver Whitecaps FC enter this MLS meeting with a moderate but clear advantage over Saint Louis City SC. The available assessment points toward the hosts being clearly stronger, although the confidence level is not absolute. That suggests Vancouver Whitecaps FC should be expected to control more of the match, particularly if they can turn their territorial advantage into consistent chances.
The game is projected to have an open, high-scoring character, with both teams likely to score. That combination gives Saint Louis City SC a credible route into the contest even if Vancouver Whitecaps FC remain the stronger side overall. The main score scenarios are 2:1 and 2:0, while 1:1 also reflects the possibility that Saint Louis City SC can withstand pressure and make the most of their opportunities. Overall, the outlook favours Vancouver Whitecaps FC, but the likely attacking approach from both sides could keep the match competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Team availability report
According to the MLS availability report, Vancouver Whitecaps FC have Kenji Cabrera, Belal Halbouni, Édier Ocampo, Kwasi Poku, and Ralph Priso ruled out. St. Louis CITY SC are without Kyle Hiebert and Célio Pompeu, while Tomas Ostrak and Jaziel Orozco are listed as questionable.
St. Louis CITY SC's unbeaten streak
St. Louis CITY SC enter the match at BC Place carrying a 13-match unbeaten streak.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.