Real Salt Lake — Los Angeles FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.3% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 67.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.1% / 37.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.8% / 18.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.9% / 63.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Orlando City 1:2
- 20.08.2026 home FC Dallas 3:4
- 16.08.2026 home Minnesota United 1:1
- 02.08.2026 away St. Louis City 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away DC United 0:0
- 23.08.2026 home Portland Timbers 1:1
- 20.08.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 16.08.2026 home San Diego FC 0:1
- 02.08.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 1:1
This season: Real Salt Lake at home vs Los Angeles FC away
| Metric | Real Salt Lake · at home | Los Angeles FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–2 | 3–4–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.20 | 1.18 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 45% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.07.2026 Los Angeles FC 3:1 Real Salt Lake
- 22.09.2025 Los Angeles FC 4:1 Real Salt Lake
- 18.09.2025 Real Salt Lake 1:4 Los Angeles FC
- 18.07.2024 Los Angeles FC 1:1 Real Salt Lake
- 02.03.2024 Real Salt Lake 3:0 Los Angeles FC
- 02.10.2023 Los Angeles FC 0:1 Real Salt Lake
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC meet in an MLS contest that projects as an evenly matched encounter. The available assessment gives neither side a clear overall advantage, although the market signal leans toward Los Angeles FC avoiding defeat. That points to a competitive game in which the visitors may have a slight practical edge, while Real Salt Lake remain capable of taking control through home advantage.
The stronger expectation concerns the attacking side of the match. It is rated as likely to produce several goals, with both Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC considered likely to score. That combination should create an open contest rather than a cautious tactical battle, with momentum potentially shifting between the teams. A draw is a credible outcome, but Los Angeles FC’s narrow market preference keeps an away result in consideration. The most balanced reading is a close, high-scoring match in which small defensive lapses could determine the final margin.
What matters before kick-off
LAFC squad availability
LAFC have ruled out Thomas Hasal, Igor Jesus, and Timothy Tillman due to injuries. Defender Ryan Porteous is listed as questionable with a leg issue.
Real Salt Lake's home stretch
Real Salt Lake return home aiming to end an eight-game winless run in MLS regular-season play. The match kicks off a stretch of four consecutive home fixtures in September.
LAFC's away schedule congestion
LAFC are navigating a road-heavy stretch in which five of their six September matches are away from home. They enter the match following a scoreless 0-0 draw at D.C. United.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.