Vancouver Whitecaps FC — Los Angeles FC: Win probabilities, 01.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.1% |
| 12 | 76.6% | |
| X2 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.1% / 34.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.3% / 14.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.8% / 35.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.8% / 57.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.4% / 75.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 away Minnesota United 0:0
- 23.07.2026 away FC Cincinnati 3:4
- 24.05.2026 away San Diego FC 4:2
- 17.05.2026 away Houston Dynamo 0:1
- 14.05.2026 away FC Dallas 3:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 4:0
- 23.07.2026 home Real Salt Lake 3:1
- 18.07.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0
- 25.05.2026 home Seattle Sounders 1:0
- 18.05.2026 away Nashville SC 2:3
This season: Vancouver Whitecaps FC at home vs Los Angeles FC away
| Metric | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · at home | Los Angeles FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 7–0–1 | 3–2–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.11.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2:2 Los Angeles FC
- 30.06.2025 Los Angeles FC 0:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 12.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2:2 Los Angeles FC
- 09.11.2024 Los Angeles FC 1:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 04.11.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:0 Los Angeles FC
- 28.10.2024 Los Angeles FC 2:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Vancouver Whitecaps FC go into this MLS meeting with a slight but credible edge over Los Angeles FC. The available assessment points toward a competitive contest in which the home side has the stronger overall position, while the visitors remain capable of creating enough danger to keep the game balanced. That makes the home advantage important, but not decisive.
The match is expected to have an open scoring profile, with both Vancouver Whitecaps FC and Los Angeles FC likely to find the net. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 2-1, and 2-0, reflecting a game that could remain close while still offering several attacking moments. Vancouver Whitecaps FC appear better placed to avoid defeat, although Los Angeles FC should have opportunities to challenge them throughout.
What matters before kick-off
Top of Western Conference clash
Vancouver Whitecaps FC and Los Angeles FC enter Matchday 19 tied at the top of the Western Conference standings with 33 points each.
Return to BC Place
Vancouver Whitecaps FC are playing a home MLS match at BC Place for the first time in over three months.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.