Inter Miami CF — Columbus Crew: Win probabilities, 01.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.3% |
| 12 | 80.5% | |
| X2 | 36.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.2% / 33.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.6% / 10.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.2% / 27.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.1% / 67.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.6% / 82.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 away CF Montreal 1:0
- 23.07.2026 home Chicago Fire 3:2
- 25.05.2026 home Philadelphia Union 6:4
- 17.05.2026 home Portland Timbers 2:0
- 14.05.2026 away FC Cincinnati 5:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 home FC Cincinnati 2:1
- 23.07.2026 home New York City 1:2
- 24.05.2026 home Atlanta Utd 2:0
- 17.05.2026 away Philadelphia Union 1:1
- 14.05.2026 away New York Red Bulls 2:3
This season: Inter Miami CF at home vs Columbus Crew away
| Metric | Inter Miami CF · at home | Columbus Crew · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 3–3–1 | 1–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.71 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.14 | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 88% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 88% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.06.2025 Inter Miami CF 5:1 Columbus Crew
- 19.04.2025 Columbus Crew 0:1 Inter Miami CF
- 03.10.2024 Columbus Crew 2:3 Inter Miami CF
- 20.06.2024 Inter Miami CF 2:1 Columbus Crew
- 05.07.2023 Inter Miami CF 2:2 Columbus Crew
- 30.04.2023 Columbus Crew 1:2 Inter Miami CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Inter Miami CF enter this MLS meeting with a clear but not overwhelming advantage over Columbus Crew. The assessment points to the hosts being stronger overall, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the match remains open to different developments. Inter Miami CF are expected to take the initiative, while Columbus Crew should have enough attacking threat to remain involved rather than simply defend for long periods.
The clearest theme is a high-scoring contest in which both teams are likely to find the net. That makes defensive control particularly important, as either side could create opportunities in a match with an open rhythm. The most representative scorelines are 2:1 and 3:1 in favour of Inter Miami CF, with 1:1 also reflecting the possibility that Columbus Crew can resist the home side's pressure. Overall, the outlook favours Inter Miami CF, but the expected attacking quality from both teams points to a competitive game rather than a one-sided affair.
What matters before kick-off
Inter Miami's Winning Streak
Inter Miami CF enters the match on a six-game winning streak in the MLS regular season. In their previous fixture, they secured a 1-0 away victory against CF Montreal.
Columbus Crew Recent Form
Ahead of their trip to Miami, Columbus Crew secured a 2-1 home victory over FC Cincinnati in their previous regular season match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.