Inter Miami CF — Columbus Crew: Win probabilities, 01.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.9% |
| 12 | 78.7% | |
| X2 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.7% / 32.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.2% / 11.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.1% / 29.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.7% / 70.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.9% / 84.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Inter Miami CF host Columbus Crew in an MLS match that points toward an open contest. The available assessment gives Inter Miami CF a slight edge, although the moderate confidence suggests that the home advantage should not be overstated. Columbus Crew remain a credible threat, particularly in a game expected to offer opportunities at both ends.
The scoring outlook is high, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes the match difficult to frame as a controlled home performance, since Columbus Crew should have attacking moments even if Inter Miami CF are marginally better placed overall. The most prominent projected scorelines are 2-1, 1-1 and 3-1, reflecting a balance between a narrow home victory and a competitive draw. Overall, Inter Miami CF have the stronger position in the pre-match assessment, but the expected exchange of goals leaves the result open.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.