Vancouver Whitecaps FC — Houston Dynamo: Win probabilities, 20.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.3% |
| 12 | 77.6% | |
| X2 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.1% / 38.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.8% / 61.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.2% / 78.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.0% / 90.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 away Seattle Sounders 2:0
- 02.08.2026 home Los Angeles FC 1:1
- 26.07.2026 away Minnesota United 0:0
- 23.07.2026 away FC Cincinnati 3:4
- 24.05.2026 away San Diego FC 4:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0
- 08.08.2026 away New England Revolution 2:0
- 02.08.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 2:0
- 26.07.2026 home Austin FC 3:0
- 23.07.2026 home DC United 1:1
This season: Vancouver Whitecaps FC at home vs Houston Dynamo away
| Metric | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · at home | Houston Dynamo · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–1 | 4–1–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.44 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.56 | 1.89 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 Houston Dynamo 1:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 18.08.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1:1 Houston Dynamo
- 17.07.2025 Houston Dynamo 0:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 19.09.2024 Houston Dynamo 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 21.07.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:4 Houston Dynamo
- 21.09.2023 Houston Dynamo 4:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Vancouver Whitecaps FC come into this MLS meeting with the clearer overall edge, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the hosts’ advantage should not be treated as decisive. Houston Dynamo remain capable of making the contest competitive, particularly if they can keep the match balanced during the opening stages. The available scoring assessment points towards an open game, with several goals more likely than a tightly controlled encounter.
The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 2:1 and 2:0, reflecting both Vancouver Whitecaps FC’s stronger position and the uncertainty around Houston Dynamo finding the net. The assessment of both teams scoring is evenly balanced, so either a clean sheet for the hosts or goals at both ends fits the wider picture. Overall, the expectation is for Vancouver Whitecaps FC to have the better opportunities and greater control, while Houston Dynamo have enough potential to keep the outcome in doubt.
What matters before kick-off
Western Conference top-two clash
The matchup between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and Houston Dynamo FC is a top-of-the-table clash in the Western Conference, with the Whitecaps leading the standings on 37 points and Houston sitting just two points behind.
Houston Dynamo shutout streak
Houston Dynamo FC enter the match on a four-game winning streak during which they haven't conceded a single goal, holding a shutout streak of 372 consecutive minutes.
Vancouver's strong home record against Houston
Vancouver Whitecaps FC hold a strong historical home record against Houston Dynamo FC at BC Place, registering 9 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 defeat.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.