Real Salt Lake — FC Dallas: Win probabilities, 20.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.5% |
| 12 | 75.6% | |
| X2 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.5% / 33.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.4% / 4.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.6% / 34.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.7% / 56.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.1% / 74.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.7% / 87.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Minnesota United 1:1
- 02.08.2026 away St. Louis City 1:1
- 26.07.2026 away Portland Timbers 1:2
- 23.07.2026 away Los Angeles FC 1:3
- 23.05.2026 away Minnesota United 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 away Austin FC 2:1
- 02.08.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 0:0
- 26.07.2026 away San Diego FC 0:1
- 23.07.2026 away Portland Timbers 2:2
- 24.05.2026 away Colorado Rapids 2:1
This season: Real Salt Lake at home vs FC Dallas away
| Metric | Real Salt Lake · at home | FC Dallas · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–1 | 5–2–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.11 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 10.05.2026 FC Dallas 3:1 Real Salt Lake
- 11.05.2025 FC Dallas 1:1 Real Salt Lake
- 23.03.2025 Real Salt Lake 0:1 FC Dallas
- 19.09.2024 Real Salt Lake 3:2 FC Dallas
- 26.05.2024 FC Dallas 3:3 Real Salt Lake
- 21.09.2023 Real Salt Lake 1:3 FC Dallas
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Real Salt Lake host FC Dallas in an MLS meeting that is expected to produce an open, attacking contest. The available assessment gives Real Salt Lake a slight edge, with strong confidence in the home side avoiding defeat. That preference is not based on a one-sided match projection, however, as the scoring outlook points toward chances for both teams and a game with a relatively high number of goals.
FC Dallas should remain a meaningful threat going forward, making it difficult to view this as a straightforward home victory. Both teams are considered likely to score, so the balance may depend on which side manages its defensive transitions more effectively and converts its opportunities with greater consistency. Overall, Real Salt Lake have the clearer position in the analysis, but the expected pattern remains competitive, with a draw also a credible part of the outcome range.
What matters before kick-off
Real Salt Lake concludes five-game homestand
Real Salt Lake closes out a five-game homestand at America First Field with an MLS match against FC Dallas. In their prior league fixture, RSL played out a 1-1 draw with Minnesota United.
Scoring run for Real Salt Lake rookie Sergi Solans
Real Salt Lake Spanish rookie striker Sergi Solans has scored 8 MLS goals this season. The forward found the net in four of the team's five matches across all competitions in August.
FC Dallas head-to-head record against Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas holds an all-time regular season record of 25 wins, 15 losses, and 13 draws against Real Salt Lake. Heading into this match, FC Dallas is undefeated in their last four encounters with RSL.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.