Portland Timbers — San Diego FC: Win probabilities, 20.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.5% |
| 12 | 76.9% | |
| X2 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.8% / 29.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.4% / 3.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.4% / 10.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.3% / 28.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.4% / 49.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.1% / 68.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.9% / 83.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Chicago Fire 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Seattle Sounders 2:1
- 26.07.2026 home Real Salt Lake 2:1
- 23.07.2026 home FC Dallas 2:2
- 17.07.2026 away Seattle Sounders 5:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Los Angeles FC 1:0
- 02.08.2026 away Minnesota United 1:1
- 26.07.2026 home FC Dallas 1:0
- 23.07.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 24.05.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 2:4
This season: Portland Timbers at home vs San Diego FC away
| Metric | Portland Timbers · at home | San Diego FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 5–2–2 | 2–3–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.22 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 89% | 44% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 26.04.2026 San Diego FC 1:2 Portland Timbers
- 10.11.2025 San Diego FC 4:0 Portland Timbers
- 02.11.2025 Portland Timbers 2:2 San Diego FC
- 27.10.2025 San Diego FC 2:1 Portland Timbers
- 19.10.2025 Portland Timbers 0:4 San Diego FC
- 24.08.2025 San Diego FC 0:0 Portland Timbers
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Portland Timbers have a slight edge over San Diego FC in this MLS meeting, with the home side’s advantage providing the clearest distinction between two teams that otherwise appear capable of competing closely. The assessment leans toward the hosts avoiding defeat, but it does not point to a one-sided contest. San Diego FC remain well placed to make the match competitive, particularly if they can take advantage of the open nature expected in the game.
The scoring outlook is positive, with a high-scoring encounter more likely than a cautious, low-event match. Both Portland Timbers and San Diego FC are considered likely to find the net, which could make the result depend on how well each side manages the decisive moments. The balance of the forecast favors Portland Timbers, while the possibility of a draw remains meaningful given the expected contributions from both attacks.
What matters before kick-off
New Head Coach for Portland
Portland Timbers officially introduced Martí Cifuentes as their new head coach ahead of their match against San Diego FC. Cifuentes took over the squad midseason.
Rematch of 2025 Playoff Clash
Portland Timbers host San Diego FC at Providence Park in an MLS Western Conference matchup. The game serves as a rematch of their 2025 MLS Cup Playoffs series.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.