Colorado Rapids — Los Angeles FC: Win probabilities, 20.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.0% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.2% / 17.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.9% / 63.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 2:0
- 02.08.2026 home Austin FC 1:0
- 26.07.2026 away St. Louis City 0:1
- 23.07.2026 home San Diego FC 1:0
- 24.05.2026 home FC Dallas 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home San Diego FC 0:1
- 02.08.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 1:1
- 26.07.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 4:0
- 23.07.2026 home Real Salt Lake 3:1
- 18.07.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0
This season: Colorado Rapids at home vs Los Angeles FC away
| Metric | Colorado Rapids · at home | Los Angeles FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 6–0–3 | 3–3–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.11 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 56% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.04.2026 Los Angeles FC 0:0 Colorado Rapids
- 19.10.2025 Colorado Rapids 2:2 Los Angeles FC
- 10.07.2025 Los Angeles FC 3:0 Colorado Rapids
- 30.06.2024 Los Angeles FC 3:0 Colorado Rapids
- 30.03.2024 Colorado Rapids 3:2 Los Angeles FC
- 24.08.2023 Los Angeles FC 4:0 Colorado Rapids
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Colorado Rapids and Los Angeles FC appear evenly matched, with a moderate level of confidence in that assessment. The balance between the sides suggests a contest where neither team holds a clear overall advantage, making the home side’s protection against defeat a reasonable lean rather than a firm prediction.
The match is expected to produce a medium level of scoring, while both teams are likely to find the net. That points toward an open but competitive game, with periods of pressure at both ends and the result potentially decided by small details. A draw is a credible scenario, although a narrow win for either Colorado Rapids or Los Angeles FC also fits the balanced outlook. The most plausible score patterns indicate a close encounter rather than a one-sided performance.
What matters before kick-off
Colorado Rapids home shutout streak
The Colorado Rapids enter the match following a 2-0 victory over Sporting Kansas City on August 15, 2026. It marked their third consecutive home win and shutout at DICK'S Sporting Goods Park.
Rafael Navarro goalscoring milestone
Colorado Rapids forward Rafael Navarro scored his 10th MLS goal of the season against Sporting Kansas City. The goal was his 38th regular season strike for the club, tying Diego Rubio for the third-most in Rapids history.
Los Angeles FC recent MLS result
Los Angeles FC returned to MLS regular season action following their Leagues Cup campaign four days prior to this match, falling 1-0 at home against San Diego FC.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.